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AChengJieDiaryA

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Does the Yen rate hike affect gold? The core focus is on USD/JPY and capital flows
How does a Yen rate hike impact gold? Remember a key logic: monitor the USD/JPY exchange rate + global capital movements
1. The correct order of indicators
First, look at USD/JPY: Yen strength (exchange rate falling) is the premise of everything. If the Yen instead weakens, the subsequent logic is broken.
Second, check the US Dollar Index and US 10-year Treasury yields: Yen strength usually leads to a decline in the Dollar Index and US Treasury yields. When these signals appear, gold benefits from both sides.
Fi
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Major Action in Semiconductors! Semiconductor Equipment Leader SMIC to Acquire Hangzhou Zhonggu, Trading Halted Starting Tomorrow
On the evening of December 18, leading semiconductor equipment company SMIC announced a major development: it plans to acquire Hangzhou Zhonggu's controlling stake through share issuance and raise supporting funds. The company's stock will be suspended from trading starting December 19, with an expected halt of no more than 10 trading days.
This acquisition is considered a "complementary strength" deal: SMIC specializes in dry process equipment such as plasma etchin
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Multiple positive factors boost the market! Spot gold's rally shows no signs of stopping
The Fed's expectation of a rate cut in the first half of 2026 is at its peak, geopolitical risks are intensifying, and investors are frantically buying gold.
DHF Capital executive Bass Kuyman straightforwardly states that the mixed US employment data has not shaken the market's expectation of a rate cut. The upcoming November CPI data is the key—if inflation continues to slow, US bond yields and the dollar will come under pressure, and gold prices are poised to hit new all-time highs!
Additionally, the US
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Tonight's CPI Preview: Inflation Expectations Clash, Gold Bulls and Bears Battle! Here's How to Manage Risk and Stay Steady
Why does the market have little reaction to this CPI?
Despite an expected annual rate of 3.1%, it contradicts the narrative of slowing inflation. The core reasons are threefold:
First, the data itself is unreliable. The U.S. government shutdown disrupted October data, resulting in missing figures that can't be recovered. This report lacks month-over-month comparisons, only providing incomplete year-over-year data. November data was also compiled using non-January sources
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Large fluctuations in evening market, watch your stop-loss and take-profit, don't hold positions blindly
Brothers, attention please! The evening market will definitely be quite volatile, do not get stubborn and hold on blindly.
Take profits quickly when you can, don't be greedy and fight the market.
Make sure to set your stop-loss and take-profit levels in advance, don't wait until you're trapped and regret it!
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12.17 Afternoon Gold, Silver, and Crude Oil Trading Strategies: Find opportunities in range-bound markets, prioritize risk control!
Hello traders! Let’s get straight to the point and discuss the trading ideas for today’s three major commodities: gold, silver, and crude oil. Yesterday’s market was quite active, with non-farm payrolls causing turbulence and progress in Russia-Ukraine peace talks. Currently, the market rhythm is a bit chaotic. The core focus this afternoon is still “trading within the range and controlling risk.” Avoid blindly chasing highs or lows~
First, look at gold. Yesterday
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Urgent Reminder! Virtual currency trading receiving police investigation calls? Three sentences to handle it!
Brothers, has anyone received a call like this: “You have virtual currency transaction records, need to cooperate with the investigation”?
Don’t just think about beginners, even seasoned players with years of experience get a little nervous!
First, here’s some reassurance: normal personal virtual currency transactions are not illegal! When faced with an investigation, don’t panic. Remember these three sentences to handle it easily and avoid pitfalls!
1. Asked if your transactions are l
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Gold short-term pullback, non-farm payrolls tonight will be the key to the market

During the Asian session on December 16, spot gold sharply dropped, briefly breaking below the $4300/oz level. As of 3:00 pm that day, it was fluctuating around $4285, down 0.5% for the day. The decline was driven by profit-taking by futures traders and weak long positions closing, coupled with positive news from Ukraine peace talks, which cooled risk aversion sentiment and suppressed gold demand.

However, the downside space for gold may be limited. The Federal Reserve has completed its third rate cut of the
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Asian morning session sees gold slightly strengthen, with spot gold up 0.1% at $4305.27 per ounce.
Tickmill Executive Director Joseph Dahrieh analyzed that expectations of Federal Reserve easing, central banks continued accumulation, and rising geopolitical risks are the three main factors supporting gold prices. The demand for safe-haven assets in gold remains high.
This week, market focus is on two major U.S. key data releases: the November employment report on Tuesday and the November CPI data on Thursday, which may dominate short-term gold trends.
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A Chengjie DiaryA One Chart Understands a Century of Gold Trends
Many people are asking: now that gold prices have soared so high, is this really a bubble? 🤔
If you only focus on the K-line of the past one or two years, you'll see only the game of rising and falling numbers. But if you extend the timeline to 100 years, you'll find that the gold trend hides an entire chapter of modern human history. Every fluctuation is a true reflection of "world order" and "technological productivity."
Looking back over the past hundred years, gold actually tells three core stories:
1️⃣ First Stage: The Cage
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12.15 Chengjie: Don't chase the high prices of gold at the top! Wait for a pullback under pressure before re-entering long positions!
Last Friday, gold oscillated higher, continuing last week's strong momentum! I have been emphasizing the core strategy of following the trend and mainly shorting against the main trend. Whether it’s buying on dips, buying on pullbacks, or sideways trading, friends who followed these strategies have all realized solid gains!
From a technical perspective, the overall trend of gold remains bullish. On the daily chart, the 20-day moving average has crossed above the
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US stocks closed lower on Friday, with tech stocks dragging down the market! Here’s how to view the gold, crude oil, and silver trends for next Monday
On Friday, US stocks wrapped up the week with a “volatile finish,” with all three major indices declining, led by a slump in tech shares. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.51%, closing at 48,458.05; the S&P 500 dropped 1.07%, ending at 6,827.41; and the Nasdaq Composite declined the most, down 1.69%, finishing at 23,195.17.
Specifically, chip stocks were hit hardest, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index plunging 5.1%, Broadcom down ov
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Gold is the true hard currency! Currency? Bitcoin? Cannot compare at all.
When it comes to value preservation and risk avoidance, let's be honest: gold is the eternal king!
Why do I say that? The core reason is simple — gold is universally recognized as a hard currency. No matter where you go in the world, show gold, and it’s universally accepted. Whether during war or economic turmoil, paper money can become worthless overnight, and digital currencies can collapse at any moment, but gold can always circulate. No one can suppress it, no one can control it. If you carry a gold bar, you can exch
BTC0,64%
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Breaking! After the United States took over as the G20 chair country, it announced that South Africa would not be invited to participate in the 2026 summit and related cooperation.
In response, China explicitly stated: South Africa is a founding member of G20, has never missed any summit, and just successfully hosted the Johannesburg summit. South Africa should continue to participate in cooperation.
China firmly supports South Africa and is willing to work with all G20 members to defend multilateralism and promote global economic growth!
Want to know how this move will impact the gold and cru
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Latest Developments in Gold, Silver, and Crude Oil: Silver Hits Record High, Oil Prices Find Direction Amid Volatility
The commodities market has been quite lively lately! The trends of the "big three" – gold, silver, and crude oil – are diverging: silver is soaring to new highs, crude oil is fluctuating between gains and losses, and gold is quietly adjusting in response to Federal Reserve policies. Today, let’s talk about the latest situation in plain language~
First, let's discuss the most eye-catching "star" – silver! In recent days, silver prices have been on fire, with spot prices once su
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Brothers! It is now 2:18 AM, with gold price at $4208 per ounce. There are only 12 minutes left until the Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Follow this current price order strategy directly and act quickly!
First, clarify the core logic: the market has already priced in the expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut. Tonight's key factor is whether Powell’s speech is “dovish” enough. It’s likely to be a wide-range fluctuation, so don’t guess the direction prematurely! The current price at $4208 is very delicate, stuck between the support at $4200 and resistance at $4230. We have two scenar
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Silver has been surging recently! As of the time of writing, the main COMEX silver futures contract broke through the $60/ounce level for the first time, reaching a high of around $62; the Shanghai silver futures contract also broke out of the consolidation range and firmly broke above the 14,000 yuan mark.
This sharp increase in silver prices, besides macro factors, is driven by several key catalysts to watch closely:
1. Maxed-out macro expectations: CME's "FedWatch" shows an 87.6% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December. Although there are disagreements within the Federal Reserv
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December 10 LME Nonferrous Metals Warehouse Receipt Daily (Golden Ten Futures News)
Copper: 99,575 tons of registered warehouse receipts and 65,400 tons of cancelled warehouse receipts, an increase of 2,300 tons month-on-month
Aluminum: 485,400 tons of registered warehouse receipts and 35,400 tons of cancelled warehouse receipts, a decrease of 2,500 tons month-on-month
Nickel: 243702 tons of registered warehouse receipts, 9,390 tons of cancelled warehouse receipts, an increase of 336 tons month-on-month
Zinc: 55,275 tons of registered warehouse receipts and 4,525 tons of cancelled warehouse re
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