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Powell just spoke at Harvard in one of his last appearances as Fed Chair.
Here's a summary of the most important points you need to know:
- Interest rates and inflation: Powell made it clear that the top priority is to bring inflation down to 2%. For now, he believes there’s no point in lowering interest rates for the rest of 2026.
- U.S. debt: He explained that although the country can pay its debts today, the problem is that debt is growing much faster than the economy. He warned that this is unsustainable in the long term and must be corrected to avoid future crises.
- Artificial Intelligen
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Trump warns that the U.S. could attack Iran's power plants, oil fields, and Kharg Island if there is no agreement soon and the Strait of Hormuz is not reopened.
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Will Bitcoin drop to $50,000?
There is a whale cluster around the 50k mark: a group of wallets prepared to buy large amounts at that price.
However, it could be manipulation to make it seem like the price will drop down to that level.
BTC0,66%
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A large anonymous whale just bought $179 million dollars worth of Bitcoin and has moved it to a newly created wallet.
They think now is a good time to accumulate $BTC and hold it long-term.
BTC0,66%
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Epstein on BTC in 2011.
- The price was $26
- The Market Cap was $175M
BTC0,66%
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Jeffrey Epstein knew about Bitcoin in 2011.
Interesting.
BTC0,66%
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Pay close attention to this image.
Bitcoin is trading at a very large discount, it's in an attractive zone to start buying.
There are scenarios where Bitcoin could fall more, but how much more compared to everything it could rise in the long term.
BTC0,66%
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This is very interesting and bullish.
Since 2023, every time the S&P 500 sentiment has fallen below 22, the market has bottomed and then had a sharp rally.
Floors are formed with fear. Peaks, with euphoria.
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Very good news for the markets: the U.S. has ordered a 5-day pause in attacks targeting Iranian energy infrastructure.
And Trump just stated that he is maintaining talks with Iran to completely resolve the conflict in the Middle East.
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What if Bitcoin keeps dropping?
There's something I don't like, being below the green line for so long.
As we've seen on other occasions, it's dangerous when the price has been below that line. We can't rule out that we haven't seen the bottom yet.
BTC0,66%
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Bitcoin in the short term could fall following the "Bart pattern": a rapid rise followed by an equally rapid decline.
After that drop, I expect a new rally that liquidates the accumulated shorts between 76k and 80k.
BTC0,66%
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An anonymous person just bet +$177,000 that Netanyahu will resign as Prime Minister of Israel or be removed from office before March 31st.
If they win, they would get +$3,779,000.
It's a very suspicious operation: new account, anonymous, and huge amounts of money at stake.
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Bitcoin is starting to rise. I don't rule out that it could continue doing so in the coming days.
But what's most important is to break through the bearish trendline (red line) that we haven't been able to overcome for some time.
Until we break through and consolidate that trendline, any scenario is possible.
BTC0,66%
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A whale has opened a large short of $12 million with x20 leverage on silver.
It is at +$2 million in unrealized profit and is still holding the short. It strongly believes that silver will continue to fall in the short term.
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A large whale just swapped all their Gold for Ethereum.
We're seeing many rotations from Gold to BTC or even ETH. Coincidence?
ETH2,1%
BTC0,66%
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Things are getting interesting...
Trump just asked Jerome Powell to lower interest rates immediately to save the economy.
"He should be lowering interest rates immediately."
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Next week is crucial for crypto and the markets.
The market today is "calm" because inflation has come out exactly as expected: 2.4%.

But there's a catch: these figures are from February, before the war with Iran and before oil prices skyrocketed.
Now the Fed faces a dilemma:
-If they lower interest rates, they are looking at a past that no longer exists.
-If they don't, they tighten an economy and a labor market that are already showing signs of fatigue.
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The old tricks still work... 👇
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How do wars affect the markets?
In summary: Conflicts generate short-term fear, but markets tend to recover "quickly." Since 1940, there have been 36 major geopolitical crises. In most cases, the S&P 500 was higher one year later.
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Trump is concerned about the price of oil, knowing he could shoot himself in the foot, and is putting pressure on the Strait of Hormuz.
He says that if Iran does anything to stop the flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz, the United States will attack "TWENTY TIMES HARDER" than it has so far.
Iran, for its part, says it will only open the strait to countries that expel the ambassadors of Israel and the US from their countries.
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