BTCLittleZhuge

12.29 Bitcoin Auntie's Morning Thoughts
Christmas holiday has come to an end. Last week's market remained hot towards the end, but a strong sense of caution was already evident. On Friday, Bitcoin's price surged and then retraced, reaching a high of around 89,530 before quickly falling back, with a low of about 86,600—perfectly aligning with the precise entry point for short positions on Bitcoin mentioned in Xiao Zhuge's Friday evening article, a textbook-level retracement!
From the current perspective, the morning rebound seems more like a technical rebound after a decline rather than the sta

12.26 Bitcoin Auntie's Evening Strategy
From the 4-hour chart, although the price is still operating near the short-term moving averages, the upward momentum has clearly weakened. Multiple attempts to break higher have failed to establish a solid breakout above the previous high. Structurally, the trend has shifted from "trend advancement" to "high-level exhaustion." The Bollinger middle band shows sideways movement, but the space remains unopened, which is a typical signal of strength turning into weakness.
On the 1-hour chart, the picture is even more straightforward: after a rapid surge, th

12.22BTCETHEvening Thoughts
From the 4-hour level perspective, the daytime market has been trapped in a range, repeatedly pulled back, typical of "consumption-type oscillation". The upper space has been tested repeatedly, but it has never really opened up in height, and each rally seems to lack strength, with obvious insufficient follow-through momentum.
Structurally, the current dominant pattern is still a weak rebound and strong suppression—the rebound is merely a repair of sentiment, not a reversal of the trend. In such an environment, it is difficult for the bulls to make effective progres

12.19 Bitcoin Auntie's Morning Thoughts
On the daily chart, Bitcoin has closed with two consecutive long upper shadow bearish candles, indicating a strong decline. Every attempt by the bulls to rebound has been ruthlessly pushed back, with selling pressure always present. The signals of resistance at high levels are clearly reflected in the K-line. Currently, the price is tightly hugging the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, and weakness is not accidental but a result of the trend.
From a technical perspective, further breakdown, on the 4-hour chart, the price is clearly encountering resistan

12.16 Bitcoin Auntie's Morning Thoughts
The Nikkei has already started to react. As we get closer to December 19th, the date of the People's Bank of China’s interest rate hike, the pressure will only increase. Once the continuous decline becomes habitual, the subsequent damage is often much more severe than expected.
This time, market sentiment is noticeably different. Since Powell's last speech, expectations for this non-farm payroll report have been raised significantly. Everyone is betting on the data being “good,” and this data directly affects whether the expectation of rate cuts can stil

12.15 Bitcoin Auntie Morning Thinking
From the current market structure, on the daily chart level, after two consecutive bearish candles, the trend has entered a sideways consolidation zone. The overall rhythm has slowed significantly, showing typical weekend market characteristics—low trading volume and lack of strong directional preference. Although there is no acceleration in downward movement yet, the recovery momentum is limited, and the rebound height remains constrained.
Regarding technical indicators, the high-level death cross of the KDJ has been confirmed and continues to diverge dow

BTC and ETH Morning Analysis for December 18
BTC saw a strong surge, breaking through the key resistance at 91,500 in one move, with the bulls officially regaining absolute dominance in the market! With this crucial level decisively breached, the market has now fully entered a new price discovery range, further strengthening the trend structure.
This round of breakout is not driven by emotion, but is based on solid volume and price resonance: moving averages are firmly aligned in a bullish arrangement, providing sustained upward momentum; the ascending trendline structure remains intact, with

Brothers, where is the applause! The value of this post is self-evident.
Yesterday, Xiao Zhuge made it very clear that the mid-track of the daily line is under pressure. Without any super positive news from the outside, continuing to move south is just a matter of time. Moreover, many people have regarded this technical repair as a major reversal, and there has been a lot of high-leverage long positions accumulating above. So everyone understands the dog's intentions, a two-way cut! Xiao Zhuge's strategy has also perfectly paid off! Bitcoin is currently at the 81900 level, with a space

From the XRP one-hour chart, the price overall maintains a fluctuating downward structure, with the short-term trend continuing to weaken. The most recent rebound around 2.22 encountered significant resistance, and the trading volume failed to increase in sync, which is a typical case of a rebound with low volume. Although the MACD red bars are contracting, they have not formed effective green bar momentum, indicating that the current situation is merely a rhythmic repair rather than a trend reversal. Meanwhile, the trading volume continues to shrink, and the short positions control the market

Intraday strategy for BTC and ETH on November 30
Since last Friday, after BTC attempted to break through the key level of 93000 without success, the market quickly turned from strong to weak, with bears suppressing the price at high levels. The current price is oscillating around 90k, but in terms of both rhythm and structure, the market is showing signs of multi-cycle resonance fatigue.
Indeed, there are local pullbacks in the short term, but the trading volume continues to shrink. The price rebound is more of a structural and passive repair, lacking the effective momentum support required fo

11.29 BTC ETH evening strategy
The US stock market is closed on weekends, and market liquidity is already poor, so there is just one word: volatility! The range is fluctuating back and forth, but overall, the Silk Road strategy of holding high positions and low buys remains unchanged.
Last night BTC surged to 93000 but was pushed back down, the upper shadow is quite obvious, and in the short term, it's highly likely that it won't break through this strong resistance. Over the weekend, it will mostly move sideways for two days, and today we are mainly focusing on the range of 91200-9w.

From the daily chart structure, XRP is still operating in a downward channel, and the overall pattern remains weak. The logical outlook in the larger direction has not changed yet.
The key resistance is concentrated at the two levels of 2.28 and 2.35. If the price rebounds to this point, it can be seen as an entry point for long-term short positions. The target is downward at 2.16, 2.10, with a trend at 2.0, and long-term at 1.8!
$XRP #十二月降息预测 #比特币行情观察

11.28 BTC ETH morning thoughts
In the blink of an eye, it's Friday again. Logically, everyone is looking forward to some "harvest market" at the end of the week. But unexpectedly, BTC's recent performance has shown us four words with its actions - it just can't go up.
In the short term, BTC has already challenged 92000 twice, and each time it was ruthlessly pushed back down. The resistance above is as hard as a steel plate; it showed no response even after two hits, which is a typical "hitting the south wall market". In contrast, the pullback is characterized by decreasing volume,

From the current hourly level, SOL is in a fluctuating upward trend, with the current price close to the 1-hour BOLL upper band. After the price surged to 144.70, it retreated, showing signs of a short-term top divergence. The MACD red bars are shortening, indicating a weakening of short-term long positions.
I personally suggest entering at 144-147, with a target looking down at 140-137, and if it breaks, look at 130!
$SOL #非农数据超预期 #加密市场回暖

11.27 BTC ETH morning thoughts
Last night's unemployment data was favorable, and the market took off accordingly. However, our judgment on the pullback strength was relatively conservative, yet the market directly surged through 90,000 with a large bullish candle, resulting in a "sudden reversal". I apologize for this miscalculation.
From a structural perspective, this surge is more of a passive rebound due to the shorts being strongly squeezed out for two consecutive days: the daily chart is still in the repair phase at the lower edge of the descending channel, and the main trend has not

11.26BTCETHEvening Thoughts
Currently, the price has repeatedly touched but failed to break through the 86000-86800 range, which suggests that selling pressure is gradually increasing, and a breakthrough is imminent.
The possibility in this area is relatively low.
The MACD indicator has issued a bearish signal. Whether on the 1-hour chart or the 4-hour chart, the MACD's DIF line is running below the DEA line, and a death cross signal has recently appeared. This indicates that market momentum is weak in the short term, which may lead to further declines.
Personal suggestion
BTC: Enter the r

solmidday思路
After stabilizing last Friday, Sol also rebounded strongly along with the market, continuing to move upward with fluctuations. However, from the daily chart perspective, this rebound is hardly significant; it is merely a corrective rebound, with 143.5 still being a strong resistance level. The upward momentum accumulated earlier has been completely released, and the market bulls are unable to organize effective resistance, while panic selling is accelerating.
I personally suggest entering the market at 140-143.5, with targets looking down at 133 and 130.
Break below 125!
$SOL #反弹币种

11.26 BTC ETH morning thoughts
The popular candidate for the new chairman of the Federal Reserve tends to favor interest rate cuts, coupled with weakening employment and retail data, along with some prospects for a peace agreement between the U.S. and Ukraine. Overall sentiment is mixed — with bullish and bearish news blending together, the market is leaning towards volatility.
BTC's recent rebound touched around 88400 but was pressed back down. The daily line remains below the middle track, and there has been no substantial change in the trend; the rebound volume on the 4-hour level is ve

At the end of the month, those who want to cash out with Little Zhuge, let's seize the opportunity together and aim for a 10x surge at the end of the month!
$BTC $GT $ETH
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