CryptoWeb3Today

A Silent Sign Before Financial Storms:
There are moments in the markets where the danger lies not in the news itself, but in the systemic shift.
One such moment is hinted at today by an indicator that has historically been remarkably inaccurate.
The 30-year to 2-year US Treasury yield ratio (30Y-2Y) closed December with the RSI above 50.
This isn't a random number; it's a technical signal that has successfully warned of major market crashes four out of four times since 1980.
What does this indicator actually tell us?
It doesn't predict the day of the crash, nor does it pinpoint the bottom or t

Crypto giants lose billions in 2025. Michael Saylor lost $2.6 billion, Gemini founders lost 59% of their wealth, and CZ lost about 5%. In contrast, Jeremy Aller saw a 149% increase thanks to the Genius stablecoin law. Bitcoin has fallen 7% since the beginning of 2025 after reaching a high of $126,000.
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Bitcoin ETFs are suffering historic losses:
The largest Bitcoin ETF, $IBIT, posted -$244 million in net outflows last week, marking the 2nd-consecutive weekly withdrawal.
$IBIT has now experienced outflows in 8 of the last 10 weeks, with a total of just 20 weekly outflows since its introduction in January 2024.
As a result, its assets under management (AUM) are down to $67.6 billion, near the lowest since June 2025.
$IBIT's AUM has now declined -$32.0 billion, or -32%, since its October 2025 peak.
Overall, crypto funds recorded -$446 million in outflows last week, marking the 6th weekly withdr

🚨 Bitcoin Rebound Wipes Out Shorts
In the last 24 hours, approximately $206.3 million in trades were liquidated.
$161.4 million (78%) were short positions, compared to only $44.9 million in long positions.
📌 This occurred as Bitcoin attempted to retest the $90,000 level.
It's clear that the momentum is gradually shifting in favor of the bulls.
$BTC
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#Bitcoin New ATH is still possible?🚨
After the recent dump, BTC has been ranging around $85k for the past few weeks.
At the same time, USDT Dominance has broken out of its range.
So far, dominance is holding above the breakout zone, and BTC is also holding around 85k lows well.
Since BTC and USDT.D are inversely correlated, two main scenarios stand out:
Scenario 1 (Bullish Move) - Green
If USDT.D starts dumping from here, this breakout will turn into a fakeout.
That would likely fuel another BTC expansion, possibly even a new ATH before any distribution.
Scenario 2 (Early bear structure) - Re

$ETH Still hovering right above the Daily 200MAEMA and horizontal support.
Seeing how compressed this chart has become, I would not be surprised to see a larger move from this area over the next few weeks as well.
Just need to wait for confirmation/momentum towards either side, and then go from there.
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$BTC
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Trump cannot be president and we do not get a bull run. This is a fact.
Altcoins have just survived a four-year bear market.
Many people called 2025 a bull run, but the chart says otherwise. What we just lived through was still a bear market.
This year will be bullish for altcoins.
Not small bullish. The biggest you have ever seen.
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$SOL
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🤯 A massive liquidity injection.
The Federal Reserve injected nearly $31 billion into the US banking system through overnight repo operations.
This is the largest liquidity injection since the COVID-19 pandemic, even surpassing the peak of the dot-com bubble. 👀📊
The question now is: Is this a temporary precautionary measure or the beginning of a more flexible monetary policy? 🔍🔥
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1st Jan 2025 vs 1st Jan 2026
• $TAO : $560 → $222
• $SOL : $210 → $125
• $INJ : $20 → $4.26
• $APT : $8.7 → $1.70
• $SUI : $4.1 → $1.40
• $RENDER : $7.1 → $1.29
• $ANYONE : $1.2 → $0.24
• $HBAR : $0.30 → $0.10
• $KAS : $0.11 → $0.04
• $VET : $0.04 → $0.01

Liquidity pressures in the financial system spiked into year-end:
Demand for the Fed’s Standing Repo Facility (SRF) just jumped to $75 billion, the highest since the facility became permanent in 2021.
The SRF enables banks to borrow cash from the Fed, using government bonds as collateral, acting as a key source of liquidity support for the financial system.
The elevated stress stems from banks stepping back from private short-term funding markets to present stronger balance sheets at the end of the calendar year.
While seasonal pressures are typical at the end of December, the scale of Fed bor

AI stocks experienced a remarkable year:
3 of the S&P 500's top 4 performers in 2025 were data storage companies, benefiting from massive AI-driven spending.
Sandisk, $SNDK, topped the list with a +559% return, followed by Western Digital, $WDC, and Seagate, $STX, at +284% and +225%, respectively.
Meanwhile, Palantir, $PLTR, was the 9th best-performing stock in the index, posting a +135% return last year.
This marked the 3rd-consecutive year of triple-digit gains for the stock.
AI-related stocks dominated equity performance in 2025.
$FIL
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$RAD
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$RPL
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BITCOIN IS ENTERING A HIGH-RISK DECISION WINDOW.
The structure keeps repeating:
– Market tops out
– Leverage gets flushed
– Price bounces and confidence returns
– Pressure rebuilds quietly underneath
That bounce isn’t confirmation.
Historically, it’s the handoff.
From here, upside is still possible.
A move toward the $100K–$105K area can happen.
But that zone has never been about celebration.
It’s where risk shifts and positioning changes.
This is the moment that decides what comes next.
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BITCOIN HAS BROKEN THE TRADITIONAL 4-YEAR CYCLE FOR THE FIRST TIME IN 14 YEARS.
For the first time in Bitcoin’s history, the post-halving year has closed in red.
In past cycles, the pattern was consistent:
- Halving year usually closes green
- The year after the halving has historically been even stronger
- Then a cycle top and a deep bear market
This time looks different.
2024 (halving year) closed strong. 2025, instead of continuing higher, closed in red.
That breaks a 14-year pattern.
But this doesn’t automatically mean Bitcoin is weak. What’s changed is what drives Bitcoin now.
Earlier cy

The Funding Rate Heatmap shows no outliers in terms of very hot or cold funding rates across the market the past 3 months.
We're in this slow phase of consolidation after the initial drop where we see end/start of the year re-balancing and the market looking for a reason to move.
This generally takes time and generally you're best off just waiting for that momentum to kick back in, before actively participating again.
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$LTC
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$ZEC
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$TOTAL Market Cap not the prettiest look but technically still at a higher low.
The trend has not been very steady relative to other cycles. But I guess this is what we'll have to do it with for the time being.
Pretty important high timeframe region here going into 2026.
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$ETH
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2025 Revenue vs. Expenses for Major Blockchains 💰
Here’s the reality of crypto — most major blockchain are currently operating at a loss. 📉
$ICP has a real shot at turning profitable in the next years. As demand for compute grows, so will token burns 🔥
The ratio (in Xs) shows how many times revenue would need to grow to break even — the higher the ratio, the further from profitability a blockchain is.
$OP 9.43X
$ETH 10.11X
$ICP 13.92X
$SOL 23.05X
$TON 23.48X
$NEAR 26.66X
$FIL 30.38X
$APT 198X
$DOT 1,711X
$ATOM 14,150X