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No rate cuts expected this year!
Last night's non-farm payroll data once again "exceeded expectations"
- U.S. non-farm employment added 178k jobs in March, far surpassing the expected 60k
- Unemployment rate slightly decreased to 4.3%
This is too obvious of a setup; a deviation of "three times" can only mean obvious manipulation. But lately, everyone's focus has been on the Strait of Hormuz, so this is directly "not pretending anymore."
This data shatters market illusions, and the expectation of rate cuts this year has been "completely wiped out," with even the rate cut expectations for 2027 b
BTC-0,19%
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Iran is playing a big game this time!
Short-term good news, long-term bad news
Iran is drafting an agreement with Oman to facilitate passage through the Strait of Hormuz
"Pay to pass through the strait"
This news caused a rebound in U.S. stocks and gold during trading
- U.S. stocks fluctuate, gold prices slightly rebound, and the U.S. dollar index recovers above 100
- The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield drops to around 4.30%
- Oil prices surge, with U.S. crude up 11%, closing at $112; Brent crude up 8%, closing at $108
The U.S. March non-farm payroll data will be released tonight
Today is "Good Fr
BTC-0,19%
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Trump actually just said one sentence: I still want to fight Iran!
- The dollar rises in response
- The S&P drops in response
- Crude oil rises in response
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Drift, it must be embezzlement!
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Is the oil crisis coming to an end?
A few updates:
1️⃣ At 12:40 AM, the Iranian president made a statement: they are willing to cease fire if there is a "guarantee." Oil prices immediately plummeted.
2️⃣ Trump followed up saying negotiations are going smoothly, and oil prices dropped further.
3️⃣ Trump said he will give a televised speech at 9 AM Beijing time on Thursday (usually he only speaks on TV when he wants to take credit).
So Taco is here, and the market has completely changed:
- Dow +2.49%, S&P +2.91%, Nasdaq +3.83%
- Gold prices quickly recovered to $4,500 and $4,600
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Important, can you seize the golden pit?
The Washington Post reports that the U.S. is preparing for possible "ground operations that could last several weeks" in Iran, aiming to open the Strait of Hormuz.
What does this mean? Here's the Chinese-to-Chinese explanation:
- Rapid reopening (ideal scenario): Hormuz reopens, oil prices fall, market rebounds violently, BTC surges
- Short-term escalation (more realistic): escalation of conflict, oil prices soar, stock and bond markets continue to decline, market enters a "second decline," BTC hits the golden pit
- Long-term conflict (most da
BTC-0,19%
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The wolf is coming! Trump has tweeted again and again to rescue the market, but no one believes him anymore.
- Nasdaq -2%+, down 10.7% from its high, confirming a correction zone
- 10-year U.S. Treasury yield breaks above 4.40%
- Gold drops below 4400, while crude oil actually rises
- The dollar strengthens
Stocks fall + dollar strengthens + yields rise + oil rises + gold falls
Translate: This indicates liquidity is flowing into the dollar, draining other assets together.
Trump calls for a 10-day ceasefire, S&P futures initially rally then crash, oil prices initially fall then re
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The most ironic thing is that Zhang Xuefeng exercised himself to death through fitness.
Ordinary people who don't push themselves might live longer.
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After a long drought, finally rain arrives! Flash earnings are back!
Operation suggestions:
1️⃣ Altcoins haven't rebounded as well as BTC, so swap most altcoins for BTC
2️⃣ Participate in flash earnings using BTC
3️⃣ When there are no flash earnings, stake BTC and borrow U to do other things
BTC-0,19%
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Breaking news! Trump threatened Iran, saying:
"If you don't open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours, I will bomb all your power plants!"
I don't know if Iran is afraid, but anyway, BTC immediately dropped below 70,000!
But as for Trump's words, everyone knows—he gets angry for a moment, but in the end, it's just Taco!
BTC-0,19%
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The market has reached its most dangerous moment!
1️⃣ US stocks haven't finished falling yet
2️⃣ The market hasn't experienced true panic yet
3️⃣ Oil price volatility is too large
4️⃣ Gold has started to decline
Everyone is now waiting for the war to end, but the answer is very clear—the war won't end in the short term
The US has delayed its visit to China, indicating they also have no confidence in ending the war quickly
BTC cannot stay out of this; how many people got trapped this time?
BTC-0,19%
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It’s a hit! The new Xiaomi Su7 price has skyrocketed!
219,900! More features without a price increase.
Tomorrow, I need to hit the daily limit 😁 to get out of the hole first.
And the launch tomorrow also features half of the new energy sector.
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# Breaking News! NetEase Guangzhou Interactive Entertainment R&D and Design Outsourcing Fully Laid Off
The wave of AI has finally hit the big internet companies. Previously, ByteDance's Wuhan team was completely laid off—how long before Tencent, Alibaba, Baidu, Meituan... follow suit?
Strangely, the more layoffs are made now, the higher the stock prices go, because everyone knows that layoffs are the right move
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What is the biggest lie of success culture?
"You succeeded because you did something right"
"You failed because you did something wrong"
But the reality is:
Good results don't necessarily mean you did something right
Bad results don't necessarily mean you did something wrong
I reflected on this for many years and reached no conclusion
In the end, I could only accept:
Success comes down to luck, failure comes down to not working hard enough
And
Choosing the right track makes your luck a bit better
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Meituan's defeat is sealed, Alibaba returns as king!
- Taobao ranked first by end of last year, Meituan's momentum is gone
- Meituan's reviews are being crushed by Amap's street view rankings
- When pushing food delivery, Meituan will face the most pressure
- Apart from food delivery, Meituan has no AI, no large language models, no new narrative
Summary:
- Food delivery business has no competitive moats
- Meituan's defeat is sealed
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When the market is collectively bearish, remember this pattern:
- Retail panic → Chips concentrate to smart money
- KOLs bearish → Often not far from a reversal
- Retail selling → Smart money buying heavily
Wealth doesn't disappear, it only transfers, and the transfer direction is always:
From the majority → To the minority
Which stage do you think we're at now?
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Trump is giving everyone money! How should you operate?
- 3.12~4.10: This period is for selling, so the price of the coin will be maintained.
- 4.28: Invited to lunch, so this time is when the market is likely to be dumped. Logically around 4.10, so you can short at this point, but to avoid major market fluctuations, find a similar asset to go long on, like Doge, so you profit regardless of whether the market rises or falls.
Of course, aim for just enough to buy a pork chop rice, control your position size, and participate with a small position.
TRUMP-0,73%
DOGE-0,84%
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Here are 8 thoughts about OpenClaw:
- Is OpenClaw powerful? Very powerful. Can it be used for direct trading? No, not yet. Or is it a security issue?
- All exchanges are launching MCP and Skill, but why hasn't anyone launched a zero-threshold, one-click cloud OpenClaw?
- Currently, the cost of using OpenClaw is extremely high, especially in the crypto world. So, making it easier for everyone to use is the most important. It might only require a few servers, but the boss doesn't understand, employees don't bring it up, so just do the simplest thing.
- In the AI era, not communicating is equival
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Token2049 Project Team Inner OS:
- The booth fee is all collected, no way to get it back
- Tickets are all sold out, dreaming of a refund
- We've already paid the venue deposit, and you still expect us to lose money?
- You’re not coming? Whether you come or not, we’re not going anyway. Just find some outsourcing to make do.
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So this is how AI is used? Truly, technology is changing our lives.
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