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On the night of the Fed's interest rate cut, is the crypto market "To da moon" or "landing"?
Understand how interest rate cuts affect your Bitcoin and altcoins in one article
---
🔔1. Fed cuts interest rates: 25 basis points meet expectations
At 2 AM Beijing time on September 18, the Fed announced a 25 basis point rate cut, lowering the federal funds target range to 4.75%-5.00%. This is the first rate cut of 2025, in line with a 96% probability expectation from the crypto market.
Key details:
The divergence in the dot plot is evident: among the 19 FOMC members, 10 support at least 2 rate
View OriginalUnderstand how interest rate cuts affect your Bitcoin and altcoins in one article
---
🔔1. Fed cuts interest rates: 25 basis points meet expectations
At 2 AM Beijing time on September 18, the Fed announced a 25 basis point rate cut, lowering the federal funds target range to 4.75%-5.00%. This is the first rate cut of 2025, in line with a 96% probability expectation from the crypto market.
Key details:
The divergence in the dot plot is evident: among the 19 FOMC members, 10 support at least 2 rate
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The Federal Reserve makes a significant announcement late at night! A decade-long upheaval in global capital is coming, where should you put your money?
At 2 a.m. Beijing time on September 18, the decisions made in the basement of the Federal Reserve's Eccles Building will affect every investor worldwide. The tense atmosphere in the New York trading floor has already spread to the dinner table conversations of ordinary families.
01 Historical Review: Asset Performance Patterns During Interest Rate Cuts
Historically, the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts on various asse
At 2 a.m. Beijing time on September 18, the decisions made in the basement of the Federal Reserve's Eccles Building will affect every investor worldwide. The tense atmosphere in the New York trading floor has already spread to the dinner table conversations of ordinary families.
01 Historical Review: Asset Performance Patterns During Interest Rate Cuts
Historically, the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts on various asse
BTC2,38%
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Crypto Assets Technical Analysis Guide: Secrets to Using the Four Core Indicators
Technical Analysis is not a crystal ball, but your market map and compass. It cannot predict the future, but it can tell you where you are right now and the direction that is more likely to follow.
This article will explain the four classic technical indicators in the simplest way: Moving Averages, MACD, RSI, and KDJ. We will avoid complex formulas and focus on their core logic and practical applications.
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1. Moving Average ( MA ): Market Trends and Costs
1. What is it?
Moving averages represent the average ho
View OriginalTechnical Analysis is not a crystal ball, but your market map and compass. It cannot predict the future, but it can tell you where you are right now and the direction that is more likely to follow.
This article will explain the four classic technical indicators in the simplest way: Moving Averages, MACD, RSI, and KDJ. We will avoid complex formulas and focus on their core logic and practical applications.
---
1. Moving Average ( MA ): Market Trends and Costs
1. What is it?
Moving averages represent the average ho
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Non-farm payrolls disappoint, why does the crypto market fall instead of rise? The battle between bulls and bears at the $110,000 threshold will be revealed tonight!
Weak economic data strengthens expectations for interest rate cuts, but the crypto market is playing out a "good news fully priced in" scenario, behind which is a fierce game between institutional profit-taking and retail panic.
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On September 5th, Beijing time, the U.S. Department of Labor dropped a "bomb": Non-farm employment in August increased by only 22,000, far below the expected 75,000, and the unemployment rate rose to 4
View OriginalWeak economic data strengthens expectations for interest rate cuts, but the crypto market is playing out a "good news fully priced in" scenario, behind which is a fierce game between institutional profit-taking and retail panic.
---
On September 5th, Beijing time, the U.S. Department of Labor dropped a "bomb": Non-farm employment in August increased by only 22,000, far below the expected 75,000, and the unemployment rate rose to 4
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The non-farm data surprised, and the crypto market welcomes the tailwind of interest rate cuts!
Last night, the US August non-farm payroll data significantly missed expectations (only increased by 22,000, expected 75,000), and the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%. The market reacted quickly: the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September surged to 97%!
Core Logic:
The weaker the economic data → The stronger the interest rate cut expectations → The warmer the liquidity expectations → The crypto market benefits!
The long-term target for Bitcoin is set at $125,000, and
Last night, the US August non-farm payroll data significantly missed expectations (only increased by 22,000, expected 75,000), and the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%. The market reacted quickly: the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September surged to 97%!
Core Logic:
The weaker the economic data → The stronger the interest rate cut expectations → The warmer the liquidity expectations → The crypto market benefits!
The long-term target for Bitcoin is set at $125,000, and
BTC2,38%
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The encryption market enters the institutional era: new opportunities under regulation and a capital frenzy.
The encryption market has bid farewell to the chaotic era, and institutional funds are becoming the new dominant force, bringing unprecedented changes and opportunities.
Since the beginning of this year, the encryption market's total market capitalization has grown by 9.9%, adding more than $600 billion in value. The U.S. spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have attracted over $28 billion in net inflows, becoming the main driving force in the cryptocurrency market.
The stablecoin market
View OriginalThe encryption market has bid farewell to the chaotic era, and institutional funds are becoming the new dominant force, bringing unprecedented changes and opportunities.
Since the beginning of this year, the encryption market's total market capitalization has grown by 9.9%, adding more than $600 billion in value. The U.S. spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have attracted over $28 billion in net inflows, becoming the main driving force in the cryptocurrency market.
The stablecoin market
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Discipline beats trading talent.
Even discipline is a talent.
View OriginalEven discipline is a talent.
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I never lose in trading because I set my stop loss accurately.
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Four key characteristics of tokenization in the US stock market that you need to remember
What exactly is the tokenization of US stocks?
(1) Break regional restrictions:
As long as you can participate legally, you can engage in the corresponding stock trading, theoretically from any corner of the world (currently, many regions still have regulatory restrictions, you know).
(2) Breaking the limitations of time and space:
Traditional US stocks can only be traded from 9:30 to 16:00, but after tokenization, they support 7*24 hours of on-chain buying and selling.
(3) Lower the investment threshold:
View OriginalWhat exactly is the tokenization of US stocks?
(1) Break regional restrictions:
As long as you can participate legally, you can engage in the corresponding stock trading, theoretically from any corner of the world (currently, many regions still have regulatory restrictions, you know).
(2) Breaking the limitations of time and space:
Traditional US stocks can only be traded from 9:30 to 16:00, but after tokenization, they support 7*24 hours of on-chain buying and selling.
(3) Lower the investment threshold:
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Ultimately, I have no ambition to earn a lot of money and live a luxurious life above others, nor can I endure the torturous suffering of sitting like a ascetic, and I cannot flatter the powerful to obtain the insider information that I have worked so hard to get.
I have to respect myself, keeping away from all people and things that try to anger or negatively influence me. In the midst of all the strange changes, I grasp the big logic that I am certain of, treating wealth as a means to freedom and wisdom, so that I can reach my destination. #Gate用户突破3000万 #美股代币化 #特朗普马斯克分歧
I have to respect myself, keeping away from all people and things that try to anger or negatively influence me. In the midst of all the strange changes, I grasp the big logic that I am certain of, treating wealth as a means to freedom and wisdom, so that I can reach my destination. #Gate用户突破3000万 #美股代币化 #特朗普马斯克分歧
TRUMP1,01%
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Today's view on the market
BTC: Short-term neutral to bearish, pay attention to the breakout direction of the 103400-106400 range, avoid chasing long positions before stabilizing above 106000.
ETH: Neutral to bullish, triangle apex breakout imminent:
Long position strategy: Enter after a pullback stabilizes at the 2590 support, increase positions after breaking through 2660.
Hedging suggestion: Buy 2400 strike price put options to guard against SEC risks.
The market is at a critical juncture of "ETH revival"; technical upgrades, institutional accumulation, and regulatory games will dominate sh
View OriginalBTC: Short-term neutral to bearish, pay attention to the breakout direction of the 103400-106400 range, avoid chasing long positions before stabilizing above 106000.
ETH: Neutral to bullish, triangle apex breakout imminent:
Long position strategy: Enter after a pullback stabilizes at the 2590 support, increase positions after breaking through 2660.
Hedging suggestion: Buy 2400 strike price put options to guard against SEC risks.
The market is at a critical juncture of "ETH revival"; technical upgrades, institutional accumulation, and regulatory games will dominate sh
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The core content of measuring risk includes five items: calculating the margin of safety, refusing to trade with individuals of questionable moral character, insisting on appropriate compensation for predetermined risk requirements, being vigilant about the risks of inflation and Intrerest Rate, and avoiding continuous loss of principal.
1. Calculate the margin of safety:
Core content: This is the cornerstone of value investing. It requires that when you purchase an asset (such as stocks, bonds, or businesses), the price you pay must be significantly lower than your conservative estimate o
1. Calculate the margin of safety:
Core content: This is the cornerstone of value investing. It requires that when you purchase an asset (such as stocks, bonds, or businesses), the price you pay must be significantly lower than your conservative estimate o
TRUMP1,01%
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Bitcoin Market Analysis Today
1. Technical Analysis and Key Resistance: BTC recently experienced a pullback after breaking through $110,000, currently fluctuating in the range of $106,000 to $110,000. The technical indicators suggest that if it stabilizes above $109,000 (previous high resistance), it may once again challenge $115,000; however, if it falls below the $106,000 support, it could retest the demand zone of $103,000 to $104,000. On-chain data: $101,800–$104,000%, indicating strong support in this area, but ETF fund inflows have slowed for three consecutive weeks (only $609 million th
View Original1. Technical Analysis and Key Resistance: BTC recently experienced a pullback after breaking through $110,000, currently fluctuating in the range of $106,000 to $110,000. The technical indicators suggest that if it stabilizes above $109,000 (previous high resistance), it may once again challenge $115,000; however, if it falls below the $106,000 support, it could retest the demand zone of $103,000 to $104,000. On-chain data: $101,800–$104,000%, indicating strong support in this area, but ETF fund inflows have slowed for three consecutive weeks (only $609 million th
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In the crypto world for many years, I have summarized a few tips to prevent being played for suckers in contracts, and I believe they can help you who are currently working with contracts!
1. Recognize the essence of risk
The volatility of contracts in the crypto world is beyond imagination, and in extreme market conditions, the principal can instantly drop to zero. Before investing, it is essential to clarify your own risk tolerance and never use funds that you "cannot afford to lose."
2. Avoid blindly entering the market.
Contract trading is not a game of chance! Be sure to master core kno
1. Recognize the essence of risk
The volatility of contracts in the crypto world is beyond imagination, and in extreme market conditions, the principal can instantly drop to zero. Before investing, it is essential to clarify your own risk tolerance and never use funds that you "cannot afford to lose."
2. Avoid blindly entering the market.
Contract trading is not a game of chance! Be sure to master core kno
BTC2,38%
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The current market is in a phase where BTC leads and altcoins rotate. After ETH breaks through key resistance, it may start a supplementary rise. It is advisable to follow the trend: focus on core positions in BTC/ETH, utilize pullbacks to optimize costs, and selectively choose tracks: the Solana ecosystem, AI/RWA, and other zones with clear narratives are more resilient. Strict risk control: set a stop loss (BTC104000ETH2,400) to guard against Black Swan Events.
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This is basically equivalent to a new version of the Bretton Woods system, where the old version was linked to gold, and the new version is linked to Bitcoin.
Once the Bitcoin-based Bretton Woods system is rebuilt, the US dollar will receive a secondary boost. To resolve the US national debt, Americans will do their utmost to promote the prosperity of the cryptocurrency market, encouraging participation from people around the world. In this way, money from all over the world will indirectly become holders of national debt through stablecoins. #Gate 品牌战略重磅升级
Once the Bitcoin-based Bretton Woods system is rebuilt, the US dollar will receive a secondary boost. To resolve the US national debt, Americans will do their utmost to promote the prosperity of the cryptocurrency market, encouraging participation from people around the world. In this way, money from all over the world will indirectly become holders of national debt through stablecoins. #Gate 品牌战略重磅升级
BTC2,38%
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A significant event of the times: the stablecoin bill has passed!!!
Many people may not yet realize that the significance of today's passing of the stablecoin bill is actually revolutionary. This means that in the future, the US dollar can reach every place that was previously unreachable. For example, I started using usdt for consumption domestically yesterday, and this usdt is not even issued by the US government; they will issue their own stablecoin in the future. #Gate 品牌战略重磅升级 #GENIUS稳定币法案
View OriginalMany people may not yet realize that the significance of today's passing of the stablecoin bill is actually revolutionary. This means that in the future, the US dollar can reach every place that was previously unreachable. For example, I started using usdt for consumption domestically yesterday, and this usdt is not even issued by the US government; they will issue their own stablecoin in the future. #Gate 品牌战略重磅升级 #GENIUS稳定币法案
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In the crypto world for many years, I have seen too many frens losing everything because they couldn't control themselves. The reason is simply......
Why can't you control your hands?
Because you think the more you trade, the more you earn.
No trading, no profit.
In fact, the more trades you make, the more losses you incur.
The number of trades is opposite to the profit.
Trading requires a hands-off approach.
wait at ease for the labor
Waiting for opportunities
Will not wait for opportunities
It's like drying rice on a rainy day.
Cotton coat in hot weather
Do anything
Time is very important #B
Why can't you control your hands?
Because you think the more you trade, the more you earn.
No trading, no profit.
In fact, the more trades you make, the more losses you incur.
The number of trades is opposite to the profit.
Trading requires a hands-off approach.
wait at ease for the labor
Waiting for opportunities
Will not wait for opportunities
It's like drying rice on a rainy day.
Cotton coat in hot weather
Do anything
Time is very important #B
BTC2,38%
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Livermore's Eight Principles of Trading:
1. Reverse thinking: When FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt) is high, there are often hidden opportunities.
2. Go with the flow: Be cautious in a bear market, and act boldly in a bull market.
3. Focus on leaders: prioritize buying leaders (the frontrunners).
4. Build positions in batches: Consider adding positions when the price rises; a good trade should be profitable as soon as it’s entered.
5. Emotional Discipline: Avoid impulsive gambling and maintain rationality.
6. Be patient: Only take your shot at the best moment within the hitting zone.
7. Minimum
1. Reverse thinking: When FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt) is high, there are often hidden opportunities.
2. Go with the flow: Be cautious in a bear market, and act boldly in a bull market.
3. Focus on leaders: prioritize buying leaders (the frontrunners).
4. Build positions in batches: Consider adding positions when the price rises; a good trade should be profitable as soon as it’s entered.
5. Emotional Discipline: Avoid impulsive gambling and maintain rationality.
6. Be patient: Only take your shot at the best moment within the hitting zone.
7. Minimum
NXPC-1,13%
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