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Looking like a big breakdown is coming...
USDT.D is a very important chart when it comes to the entire market.
It is essentially the opposite of BTC + ETH, and when it rises, they drop.... and it drops, they rise.
And right now, we have OBV breaking down before the price.
OBV is one of the best leading indicators when it comes to understanding trends.
You can also see the example i highlighted from June.
OBV started to breakdown way before the price ever did.
The exact same setup is happening right now.
OBV has quite clearly lost its up trend, whilst the price is still fairly above it.
My mon

And now all of a sudden everyone is bull posting again.
It never changes.
Yesterday I was getting abuse hurled at me for saying the month open dump was healthy, and that we had likely bottomed.
Today, everyone is flipping!
This is why you cannot simply listen to people on X and use that to decide what is happening.
99% of them are just posting things based on which way the market is moving.
The more it moves down, the more emotional they get, the more down bad posts you see of people saying more down.
Same goes for up.
You have to form your own views and thesis, and believe in them rega

So you're telling me you're bearish heading into 2026 when...
- Vangaurd aped $1bn in 30 mins
- Blackrock ETF is highest earner for them
- Bessent said tax refunds inQ1 + $2,000 checks
- New Dovish FED chair wants to stimulate
- QT has ended and rates continuing to drop
- Overall macro tailwinds piling up
- COPPER/GOLD bottoming after GOLD topping
- Business cycle hasn't even started expanding yet
And you think we're gonna get $40k next year cos of 4 year cycle?
Not happening.
New highs in 2026 and the smell on the timeline when people realise this will be beautiful.

There are now almost $15bn in short liquidations...
And that is only up to $100k.
I am very confident that Bitcoin is now forming its higher low here, and getting ready to bounce heading into FOMC and throughout a lot of December.
The downside is being over done here, with another $1bn in liquidations in the last 24h.
Short term holder capitulation levels have reached the second most extreme point ever, only second to the $49k Yen carry trade bottom in 2024.
Even if you are in the camp that the cycle is over and we are retracing 75% into a prolonged bear, you will want to wait until the market

This is actually a great start to the month.
1. We didn't get a Sunday pump
2. CME gap already closed
3. $400m in long liqs taken already
Downside liquidity swiped first, which is what we want to happen.
We now have almost $2bn in shorts between here and $92.5k. And $13bn in shorts between here and $103k.
In terms of long liquidations we have $2.7bn down to $83.5k.
It would've been a lot more worrying had we pushed hard on Sunday, taken the short liqs first, then headed for longs after.
Take long liq first, form a higher low and begin to put in. a base heading towards FOMC and year end.

Everybody is beaten.
I have never seen SO many articles, posts, videos and whatever else, all saying how Crypto is pointless.
How no one is interested, there is no value, its a scam, and how it has no future.
With almost all accounts collectively cheering on their own demise.
And all of this is happening while Wall street has 100+ Altcoin ETFs in the works.
The market makers/smart money/hedge funds have done an incredible job is beating the shit out of Crypto believers...
To the point that there is only apathy left.
But this could not be more of the worst time to be feeling this way.
It doesn'

Is $ETH about to go on another mega run?
On December 3rd, the Fusaka Upgrade is happening.
A very overall bullish upgrade for the entire network.
And last time we had a big upgrade, PECTRA, $ETH pushed almost 300% in the following months.
Price action has also been strikingly similar leading into this upgrade as the last one.
Of course, there is a lot more nuance to a price breakout, but this upgrade is lining up with a whole lot of other bullish signals that are showing us higher is next.
December is shaping up to be a more bullish month across the board.

More and more bottom signals firing every day here.
And it’s so funny watching the timeline during low volatility.
Everyone is like a crack Addict for these candles.
As soon as things are chill the timeline loses their minds.
The longer it goes on, the more afraid people get.
The more panicked they get.
All they can remember is fear and loss.
And the the quiet begins to gradually erode at their emotions and they can stop the fear creeping in.
This is a textbook slow reversal, and it will continue to push higher than most think possible.
Then the first proper rejection will happen just as

If you are still expecting a year long bear market to start here...
I have a bridge to sell you.
I don't understand how anyone that claims they have a solid understanding of the crypto markets and macroeconomics can have that thesis.
Even worse, the people who are comparing right now to 2021 with that fucking fractal is wild.
You think that we're gonna get the exact same ending do you?
Just cos you can pull up a chart, add the SMA and the MACD, and open a nice big short down 75%?
No.
If you do not have a deeper level of understanding in this game you will pushed and pulled by every single mark