【Block Rhythm】Recently, I saw someone saying that Bitcoin will crash to 35,000 dollars? To be honest, this kind of argument doesn’t hold water.
Think about it, if BTC is going to crash by 75%, it must first go through a completely crazy expansion cycle, right? But this round of market hasn't even reached that stage. The market structure is more like it was in 2019, not the bubble-bursting rhythm of 2018 or 2021.
Looking back at the QT tightening phase in 2019, BTC stabilized when it retraced to the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. So even if we really encounter a hard landing, the worst-case scenario would be a monthly line breaking below the middle band, in which case the bottom might touch around the $55,000 position.
Of course, this is just a technical deduction. But those predictions that casually mention over 30,000 are mostly made by people who haven't seriously looked at the historical trends and the differences in the current market structure.