Polaris_xbt
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$BTC / Stables
When you divide BTC Marketcap with Stablecoin marketcap you get a clean image of this breakdown:
We are at the very bottom of the bull market range
🔸Above = bull continues
🔸Below = bear market confirmation
For now we are at a support and RR favours longs
BTC-0.21%
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$HYPE
Very nice ltf price action.

If we see some strength in the coming days, a push through 27 is a clean buy signal.
HYPE-3.04%
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$SOL
Swing long from value area low.
Not a place to panic sell imho... this is the last place where longs make sense... if this gives in, it is over for sol for quite awhile.
SOL-1.07%
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$ADA
Finally showing signs of life after breaking the bearish parabola.
This area has a high probability of being a deviation from the local range..
My approach here is simple:
🔸50% here
🔸50% if we reclaim the range
This is my way of minimizing the risk
ADA-3.13%
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$BTC
We have confirmed 3day bull divergence on BTC.
Overall 3 day divergences on RSI have 65% chance of playing out (back-tested data from 2019 till now).
Notably last two major bottoms coincided with 3 day divergences.
BTC-0.21%
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Total Stablecoin Dominance
Three day bear div is now confirmed on stablecoin dominance.
Since the inception of stablecoins three day bear divs have had 100% hit rate.
Rally on $BTC is around the corner...
BTC-0.21%
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$ETH / Stables
... and you get a beautiful chart.
This reveals just how muted the entire cycle is so far we have seen only traces of euphoria back in March with solana and memecoins.
True ETH lead altseason is still nowhere to be found
ETH-1.04%
SOL-1.07%
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$ETH
A very plausible scenario as we move toward the QE next year.
Crypto rarely waits for confirmation. Markets tend to front run major macro shifts...
If expectations around a new Fed Chair start fueling optimism, euphoria can build fast and reach extreme levels long before policy actually changes.
ETH-1.04%
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Total Stablecoin Dominance
Looks like we will get 3 day bear div at the top.
Time to consider some serious longs.
$ETH already showing some nice relative strength
ETH-1.04%
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$BTC and BitFinex
No buys and no sells in the past few weeks.
This is synonymous with previous local higher lows.
My plan is to hold everything I've bought sub 88k and add even more if we sweep the low at 81k.
Red button does not exist till at least January of 2026
BTC-0.21%
IN-1.92%
MY-2.27%
HOLD0.53%
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$ETH
Local parabolic move is now invalidated.
Eth is no longer of interest for me from the long side...
Focus should be on few selected alts and $BTC
ETH-1.04%
BTC-0.21%
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$ETH
3k will be the main battle.
If we reclaim that mini range this will shoot up and we are officially in parabolic move
ETH-1.04%
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$BTC
What if we crash.... like real, real bad
BTC-0.21%
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$ETH
Slightly deeper retrace, yet the parabola remains intact.
As long as this curve holds, the path of least resistance is still upward. If it breaks… expect a long, cold winter ahead ❄❄❄
ETH-1.04%
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$ETH
Looks like a start of a parabolic move...
Plan is to pick up some eth and alts at the sweep of the local range.
ETH-1.04%
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XiYuxiangvip:
Hahaha. Truly good at fantasizing.
$HYPE
We should get some significant bounce from the monthly level here. How high it pushes is anyone's guess.
Once it eventually drops below the monthly $12 is the most likely target eventually.
HYPE-3.04%
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Altcoins vs $ETH
ETH starting to outperform again.
The longer ETH leads the bigger the bounce for altcoins later.
ETH-1.04%
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$ETH
Potential path forward.
ETH-1.04%
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$ENA
This should not come back to our entry point.
SL moved to entry and I will be taking chunks of at major swing highs along the way.
Trade with me on BloFin for nice bonuses :)
ENA1.04%
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