#预测市场正在影响BTC走势？ Prediction markets are influencing Bitcoin's short-term movements but have not overturned long-term pricing logic. They are a microcosm of "financialization of expectations" in the crypto market, enabling prices to more efficiently reflect collective judgments while also amplifying volatility. For traders, prediction markets are high-sensitivity tools, not crystal balls: reference sentiment with the trend, anchor to fundamentals against the trend, and discern the true direction amid resonance and noise.