NFT大香蕉

早上這波拉升，確實沒有消息和數據層面的利好
對照時間線，是美股期貨開盤（6:00）的點，先是下探隨後迅速拉升，目前是翻紅。加密也是跟著爆了一波空
川普“最後通牒”一再延期，最新時間是周三早8點，但同時，霍爾木茲海峽過去24h通過了15艘船。資產市場走得很分裂：原油美元加密漲，黃金跌
總的說來，這波回彈大概率是上週五押空資金的撤離，伊朗局勢雖沒變得更壞但也沒變好，布倫特原油還在107.7的高位，黃金也開始反彈，我不認為這波抬升可以持續

最近曝光的<北京大學>春季第一課—炒股賺錢
炒股8字祕訣：能等、能守、能改、能抗

.#edge 這會空單流動性太好了，別去空
狗逼項目方當了一次狗了，再當一次也很簡單。向上拉一波，把韭菜的憤怒再收割一波.....

3月30日加密市場
地獄級難度了，畫門行情不要開單。川普一邊增派部隊，一邊說和談順利。原油一路衝高到108.7，早上8點開始回落，美元衝高到100.3後，7點鐘開始下跌，黃金和加密接棒反彈
現在加密不跟美元走，開始跟黃金了，大類資產都拿原油當對手盤。但是內部的邏輯性太混亂了，看不懂，空倉等

3月26日加密市場
美伊谈判進行中，消息上看伊朗核設施遭轰炸，美國增派地面部隊，一切是战争要升级的样子。但反應出的真實情况是，伊朗不给面子，川普猴急了。战争真的可能要结束
盘面上振幅很窄，做箱体没有性價比，這里我選择開點現貨多赌個消息面爆拉，下方挂個浅止损，亏也亏不了多少

3月25日加密市场
川普TACO戏太多，真放出停战消息时，市场也没什么反应了。昨晚美股3大股低开低走，美元走高后回落，真正坚挺的只有黄金。还是延续之前的观点，现在资本的投资逻辑就是买入超卖资产，哪个跌的多就接回来拿一拿
加密还是做区间震荡，别贪心赚个生活费就跑

3月24日加密市场
偏多，但一定挂止損。美股收盤後，加密陰跌到2天前川普威脅轟炸伊朗電力設施的點位，算是把昨天過度樂觀的溢價給抹掉了
情緒面不錯，消息面接下來也是利好更多，川普因為通膨加選舉肯定是想盡早結束戰爭，和伊朗談沒談？應該是談了，只是和誰談了的問題。更重更要的是，無論誰代表伊朗，都會選擇就坡下驢

Trump: Iran strike delayed 5 days. Trump's one sentence sent crypto and gold soaring, oil plummeted like this, isn't it a bit excessive?

March 23 Crypto Market
Less than 24 hours until Trump's ultimatum. If infrastructure in Iran is attacked, it will inevitably trigger massive retaliation + complete closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Oil price is the X factor. Over the weekend, crypto took the hit alone. Let's see how US stocks open lower tonight. At this point, might as well shift some focus to the crude oil market—crypto has already priced it in, nothing left to eat here.

March 22 Crypto Market
The morning selloff was driven by Trump's threats toward Iran, but currently the rebound momentum is quite strong and worth catching. Gold, US stocks, and the US dollar index are all pulling back from highs, which has benefited crypto liquidity, with prices still above the levels during the Iran war on February 28. The morning decline occurred because major asset markets are closed on weekends, so the crypto market alone absorbed Trump's Iran threats, which I think somewhat amplified the fear. If the strait opens, it would be an absolute positive; even if it doesn't, it

March 19th Crypto Market
Yesterday erased all gains since the 15th. This was a stampede exodus, not a pullback. News-wise, it was the surprise PPI print. Fundamentally, no one has conviction in a bull market yet—everyone tacitly agreed to sell together.
Beyond the surprise PPI, there's also: Powell's hawkish remarks, oil and gold rallying strongly, ETF ending a 7-day winning streak, S&P 500 falling back to last November levels. The risk-off sentiment is extremely thick. This is a test of traders' ability to hold empty positions.

March 18 Cryptocurrency Market
Daytime trading in a narrow range with short-term highs and lows. Trading volume beginning to shrink, everything waiting for US stock market opening tonight and the Federal Reserve action at 2 AM, with focus on Powell's press conference at 2:30 AM.

Liquidity near 74000 is really stubborn, just finished harvesting and it appeared again.
Ready to harvest again......

March 17 Crypto Market
**Short positions at high levels offer good value; be cautious about chasing highs.** From a chart perspective, the 75,000 level shows insufficient volume on the upside and has left a long upper shadow, but the decline is also on low volume. Retail participation in this rally has been very low, so we'll likely see a sideways consolidation phase.
**On the news front, crude oil prices remain the core disruptive factor.** Although both the US and Iran say they haven't closed the Strait, no oil tankers dare take the risk. Israel plans to deploy ground forces to open a second