比特币测试在斐波那契阻力被拒后$76K 支撑

Daniel Carter
BTC-1.94%

比特币在未能守住短期阻力位以及主要日线移动平均线后,正交易在关键支撑区域附近。根据 Man of Bitcoin 在 X 上分享的技术分析,比特币在一小时图上从局部高位区域回撤后,曾在 $77,337 附近交易,下一步关键取决于 BTC 是否守住 $76,431–$74,943 的支撑区间,或跌破后朝 2025 年低点附近 $74,500 下探。来自接近 $77,655、$78,042 和 $78,595 的斐波那契阻力位的回拒,已将关注点重新转向更低的支撑区域。在日线图上,分析师 Super฿ro 指出,比特币目前大约位于 50 日 EMA 在 $76,791 以及 100 日 EMA 在 $76,852 附近,而 200 日 SMA 约位于 $80,272 附近,若买方继续掌控局面,这可作为更长期的目标。

Bitcoin Price Tests Support After Local Top Rejection

Bitcoin traded near $77,337 after reversing from a short-term local top zone on the one-hour chart. Man of Bitcoin identified this reversal point as an "ideal zone for a local top" and marked a support area between $76,431 and $74,943 for a possible 1-2 setup.

The chart shows Bitcoin losing momentum after reaching upper Fibonacci levels near $77,655, $78,042, and $78,595. The failure to hold that zone shifted attention back to lower support areas. At the time of the chart, Bitcoin traded around $77,330, still above the first marked support level.

The next key support area starts at $76,431, followed by deeper levels near $75,994, $75,558, and $74,943. A descending trendline crossing near the support zone adds structural weight to this area, as BTC is testing both Fibonacci support and trend structure simultaneously.

If Bitcoin holds the marked support range, the chart indicates room for another upside move toward the $81,000–$82,000 area first, with a higher level marked near $82,750. However, a clear move below $74,943 would weaken the short-term structure. In that scenario, the next visible downside level sits near $74,163, while broader lower support appears closer to the low $73,000s and $71,000s.

比特币价格在日线图上测试移动平均线

比特币在日线图上于 $76,569 附近交易,分析师 Super฿ro 指出,BTC 仍具备一种可能将价格推向 200 日 SMA 的设置。图表显示,比特币正围绕 50 日 EMA 位于 $76,791 以及 100 日 EMA 位于 $76,852 运行,这两者都与当前价格相近,使该区域成为下一步走势的重要区域。

Super฿ro 将 200 日 SMA 附近 $80,272 视为潜在目标,并指出比特币需要先在短期移动平均线之上恢复,之后才会测试更高的这一水平。四月高点位于价格上方约 $79,500 一带,代表若买方重新夺回控制权,可能出现的两次主要上行动能测试。

在下行方面,图表标注本月开盘价约 $76,569,接近比特币当前的交易位置。其下,周五 [TradFi](https://www.gate.com/tradfi) 收盘)约位于 $75,700–$75,800 区间。此前的一次摆动低点出现在约 $75,000 一带,2025 年低点标记在约 $74,500。

Super฿ro 强调,周线和月线收盘值在周日将对齐,这可能为第二季度最后一个月定下基调。

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