Polymarket、イラン空爆後に4億7800万ドルの一日の取引記録を突破

地政学の分野で80％の勝率を持つアドレスは、8.36万ドルを賭けて、米軍が4月前にイランに進入しないことに賭けている

March 16 news: Prediction market Polymarket shows that bets against "U.S. military entering Iran before April" have surged notably, with someone investing $83,600 successfully raising the probability to 73%. Trump plans to establish an international coalition to ensure the safety of the Strait of Hormuz, however Gulf states deny providing military operation support. Although Iran has taken attack actions against Israel and U.S. military bases, the U.S. response remains focused on maintaining strait navigation and other aspects.

ある予測市場プラットフォームの3つのアカウントが同時に6万ドルを賭けて「アメリカは2026年にキューバに侵攻しない」

March 16th, three accounts on a prediction market platform collectively bet $60,000 that "the United States will not invade Cuba in 2026." In early 2026, the United States intensified sanctions against Cuba, leading to fuel shortages and power outages in Cuba, with heightened tensions and increased domestic protests.

4アドレスが3万3800ドルを賭ける、MetaMaskは9月30日までにトークンを発行しない

Gate News report shows that on March 16, monitoring data revealed that 4 accounts wagered $63,800 within 1 minute on the prediction event "Will MetaMask issue a token before September 30," betting "No" at an opening price of 80¢, consistent with the current price. It is reported that MetaMask token issuance expectations have been discussed in the crypto community for years, but the official team has never provided a clear timeline. In related prediction markets, the probability of "no token issuance" has long been maintained at a relatively high level.

Polymarket Data: Bitcoin Recovery to $75,000 Probability Rises to 84%, Contract Trading Volume Approaches $45 Million

Polymarketの予測によると、ビットコインが7万5,000米ドル（75,000ドル）に回復する確率は84％に上昇し、8万米ドル（80,000ドル）に達する確率は40％です。同時に、6万5,000米ドル（65,000ドル）まで下落する確率は30％に低下しており、現在のBTC価格は73,758.1 USDTで、上昇幅は1.29％です。

Polymarketのデータ：edgeXがローンチから1日で時価総額が3億ドルを超える確率は92％

Gate News: On March 16, data from the Polymarket platform showed that the probability of betting on "edgeX FDV exceeding $300 million one day after launch" is 92%. Additionally, the probability of exceeding $500 million one day after launch is 64%, and the probability of exceeding $700 million one day after launch is 50%. The transaction volume for this prediction event has currently exceeded $4.7 million.

Polymarketの月初の週間取引量は21億ドルを超え、過去最高を更新し続けている

Gate Newsの報告によると、3月16日時点で、Duneのデータによると、予測市場プラットフォームのPolymarketが3月第1週の取引量を21億ドル以上に達し、再び歴史最高記録を更新しました。