深掘29万件市場データ:Polymarketの流動性に関する6つの真実Author: Frank, PANews
Previously, PANews conducted in-depth research on prediction market strategies, and one important research finding was: the biggest obstacle to whether many arbitrage strategies work may not be the mathematical formula of the strategy itself, but rather the liquidity depth of the prediction market itself.
Recently, after Polymarket announced the launch of U.S. real estate prediction markets, this phenomenon seems even more pronounced. After launch, the daily trading volume of this series of markets is only a few hundred dollars, completely lacking the expected activity. The actual market heat is far less than the discussion heat on social media. This seems both absurd and anomalous, so it may be necessary for us to conduct a comprehensive investigation into the liquidity of prediction markets to reveal several truths about liquidity in prediction markets.
PANews obtained historical data from 295,000 markets on Polymarket up to now, and得
PANews·01-08 07:39