CLARITY Act Probability of Becoming Law in 2026 Rises to 52% on Polymarket

According to Polymarket data on July 5, the probability of the CLARITY Act becoming law in 2026 rose to 52%, up 12 percentage points from July 3. The Major County Sheriffs Association (MCSA) withdrew its opposition to the bill following initial concerns about its impact on financial crime investigations, reducing a key obstacle to advancing the legislation toward Senate vote. Banking sector opposition to stablecoin yield products and DeFi regulation remains the primary uncertainty.
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