As of February 12, with the first quarter of 2026 approaching its end, whether altcoins still have a rebound opportunity has become a focal point in the market. Currently, sentiment remains weak, and most altcoins are in a deep correction phase. Analytical firm Swissblock pointed out that its altcoin pulse signals indicate that while downward momentum is showing signs of slowing, there is no clear reversal signal yet, and a full recovery in the short term remains unlikely.
From on-chain data and price structure, since Bitcoin broke below a key threshold in mid-January, selling pressure on altcoins has intensified, and capital outflows have accelerated. Meanwhile, only a few altcoins remain above the 200-day moving average, indicating that most projects are still in a downtrend. Technical analysis shows that a bullish signal would only be confirmed if the positive signal line crosses above the negative momentum line in the future, potentially signaling a new bullish trend.
Performance across different sectors has also shown clear divergence. Arkham data indicates that tokens related to artificial intelligence have averaged over a 50% decline in the past month, similar to the decentralized finance sector, making it the deepest correction area. In contrast, the decline in the real-world asset sector has been relatively smaller, with some on-chain stocks and index-like assets serving as temporary safe havens for capital.
Until macroeconomic conditions improve significantly, the overall altcoin market will continue to face pressure. The weak performance of Bitcoin and Ethereum prices continues to limit market risk appetite. However, historical experience suggests that extreme sell-offs often lay the groundwork for a phase rebound. Once sentiment recovers, projects with technical and application advantages may be among the first to emerge from a correction.
For investors paying attention to “altcoin trends in the first quarter of 2026,” it is more appropriate now to observe signal changes and capital flows rather than blindly chasing rallies. The short term remains a consolidation phase, but structural opportunities are brewing.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
BTC drops 0.71% in 15 minutes: Weak macro data and miner sell-off resonate, increasing selling pressure
2026-03-08 02:45 to 03:00 (UTC), Bitcoin (BTC) price candlestick data shows a 15-minute return of -0.71%, with the lowest at 66,837.0 USDT and the highest at 67,402.7 USDT, with an amplitude of 0.84%. Short-term volatility has attracted market attention, with on-chain risk signals rising to 0.84, above the historical average, indicating cautious investor sentiment and increased market fluctuations.
The main driver of this anomaly is the US February employment data, which significantly underperformed expectations, with a sharp decrease in new jobs and the unemployment rate rising to 4.4%, combined with the US
GateNews39m ago
The upcoming wave of $875 billion in US real estate debt maturities could put pressure on Bitcoin
A large amount of commercial real estate debt (Commercial Real Estate – CRE) in the US is approaching maturity amid a market that has changed significantly since these loans were issued.
The Mortgage Bankers Association (Mortgage Bankers Association) reports that approximately $875 billion in loans
TapChiBitcoin41m ago
Price Predictions 3/6: BTC,ETH,BNB,XRP,SOL,DOGE,ADA,BCH,HYPE,XMR
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) faced a renewed test after a brief relief rally, sliding back below the $68,500 mark as sellers reasserted control. The move comes after the asset briefly flirted with the $74,000 threshold, a level that previously functioned as a ceiling during the latest ascent. Traders now e
CryptoBreaking1h ago
Little Robert Kennedy confirms run for U.S. President in 2028, holding at least $1 million worth of Bitcoin
Gate News Announcement: On March 8, Little Robert Kennedy confirmed his intention to run for U.S. President in 2028. Public information shows that he holds at least $1 million worth of Bitcoin and does not plan to divest this asset. Little Robert Kennedy publicly stated that he is a loyal supporter of Bitcoin, believing that decentralized, capped supply, neutral currencies, and hard assets like gold and silver can stabilize the dollar and prevent currency devaluation.
GateNews1h ago
Bitcoin experiences significant fluctuations: Ceasefire expectations and oil prices shape crypto market sentiment
The Kobeissi Letter news bulletin has just pointed out an important signal on the geopolitical chessboard. Recently, U.S. President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social that Washington demands Iran to "unconditionally surrender," a tough statement implying that any ceasefire agreement could still be at risk.
TapChiBitcoin2h ago
