BlockBeats News, February 19 — According to CNN, the U.S. military has currently deployed fighter jets, early warning aircraft, and drones in several countries including Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, and the United Arab Emirates. The U.S. military has also deployed multiple destroyers and littoral combat ships near the Red Sea, Persian Gulf, and the Strait of Hormuz. In the North Arabian Sea, there is the Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group, which includes the F-35C Lightning II fighter jet. The Ford carrier strike group is expected to arrive as early as this weekend.
While a large number of U.S. naval and air forces are gathering in the Middle East, Trump has just stated, “We are having good conversations with Iran, and we must reach a meaningful agreement with Iran. We will find an answer to the Iran issue within about 10 days. I no longer care about the Nobel Peace Prize.”
According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of the U.S. striking Iran before the end of February has risen to 25%, before March 15 to 45%, and before the end of March to 56%.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
A new market has been added to the prediction platform: Will the price of crude oil break through the historical high of $147.27 before the end of March?
On March 10th, a certain prediction platform added a market forecast that the price of crude oil could break the all-time high of $147.27 before the end of the month, with a current probability of 11%. This price was reached in 2008, driven by surging demand in emerging markets and supply tightening.
GateNews49m ago
Polymarket Data: Market bets that the Federal Reserve has an 80% chance of cutting interest rates in September
Gate News Report, March 10 — According to the latest data from Polymarket, there are significant differences in market bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at different times this year. Among them, the probability of a rate cut in September is the highest at 80%; July has a 59% chance; June has a 52% chance; April has a 16% chance; and March has only a 1% chance. Currently, the trading volume of this prediction market has exceeded $1.6 million.
GateNews1h ago
Kalshi Partners With XP to Launch Prediction Markets in Brazil
Customers of Clear, a brand of the XP Group, who hold an international investment account, will be able to participate in regulated prediction markets. XP is the first company to bring regulated prediction markets outside the U.S., with a focus on financial and economic events.
Kalshi Partners
Coinpedia2h ago
Polymarket Data: The probability of BTC dropping to $65,000 and rising to $75,000 in March is both 57%
Gate News Report, March 10 — According to the latest data from Polymarket, market bets on the BTC price trend in March are diverging: a 57% chance of dropping to $65,000, and a 57% chance of rising to $75,000; a 28% chance of dropping to $60,000, and a 28% chance of rising to $80,000. As of now, the trading volume in this prediction market has exceeded $28.27 million.
GateNews3h ago
Iran attacks Israel's Haifa oil refinery and launches a new round of missiles, with market forecasts of a 34% chance of a ceasefire by the end of the month.
Gate News Report, March 10, Iran's Army announced that in retaliation for attacks on Iranian oil facilities, its drones attacked a refinery and fuel storage facilities in Haifa, Israel. Additionally, Iran has launched a new round of missile strikes against Israel. According to Polymarket data, the probability of a ceasefire between the US and Iran by the end of this month is now reported at 34%.
GateNews3h ago
Cboe launches S&P 500 Index Partial Return Forecast Market Contract, reforming event trading models
Cboe Global Markets will launch a new prediction market contract linked to the S&P 500 Index, allowing traders to earn a portion of the gains based on prediction accuracy. This move aims to attract more retail investors. It marks an increased focus on event-driven financial products and is expected to boost retail trading activity, becoming an emerging investment trend.
GateNews5h ago
