在中東地緣政治緊張局勢持續升溫的陰霾下，比特幣似乎正遭到全面性拋售。根據鏈上數據分析機構 Glassnode 觀察，幾乎所有錢包規模的持幣者都開始轉向「淨賣出」，其中又以散戶投資人最為顯著。
Glassnode 數據顯示，「累積趨勢分數（Accumulation Trend Score）」近期已驟降至 0.04 左右，表明目前市場賣壓沉重。
這是 Glassnode 用來衡量市場買賣力道的指標，依據錢包規模大小與過去 15 天的囤幣量進行計算（排除交易所與礦工錢包）。分數越接近 1 ，代表該族群呈現淨買入；越接近 0 ，則代表處於淨賣出或分批減持狀態。
細分數據顯示，小額持幣者主導了這次拋售潮：
- 持有 1 枚至 10 枚比特幣的錢包（通常是散戶）正處於大量拋售狀態；
- 而持有 10 枚至 100 枚比特幣的投資人，拋售強度同樣不容小覷；
- 至於持有超過 1,000 枚比特幣的「巨鯨大戶」，目前也呈現「淨賣出」狀態，只不過拋售力道相較於中小型持幣者來說相對溫和。
Glassnode「累積趨勢分數（Accumulation Trend Score）」
雖然鏈上數據看似慘淡，但比特幣最近的抗跌表現，卻讓不少市場觀察家感到驚訝。若對照傳統資產，目前的市場環境堪稱「逆風陣陣」：美元指數（DXY）突破 99.5；美國 10 年期公債殖利率衝上一個月高點，突破 4.2% ；布蘭特原油在每桶 100 美元左右徘徊。
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