Gate News, March 20 — On a prediction market platform, an account with an 87.5% accuracy rate in predicting token launches invested $8,400 to buy “No” in the market “Will EdgeX issue a token before March 31?” At the time of purchase, the probability of “No” was 49%, and it has now decreased to 36%.
According to market settlement rules, if EdgeX officially launches a governance token before March 31 Eastern Time, the market will settle as “Yes.” The token must be freely transferable and tradable; an official announcement alone does not meet the settlement criteria.
EdgeX officials previously stated on January 7 that “XP will be distributed weekly until TGE, which is expected to occur on or before March 31.” Yesterday (March 19), the official announced that the EDGE airdrop distribution is now live. Eligible users can submit and receive airdrops to multiple wallet addresses. The submission deadline is March 31, 2026, at 23:59:59 UTC, which is 17:59:59 Eastern Time.
Based on this trader’s past trading profile, they are not betting on whether the event will actually happen; they may close positions for profit or loss at certain points after opening. The account address is: 0x9936c2d016afb6c71d9c39960c11c8b35193c1a9.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
Kalshi Traders Forecast XRP to Hit $1.60 in April
Kalshi traders predict XRP will reach $1.60 in April amid rising demand and significant ETF inflows. With a bullish technical outlook and upcoming regulatory votes, XRP's market dynamics show potential for further gains, despite risks of declining support levels if outcomes are unfavorable.
CryptoFrontier10h ago
Premier League Tottenham vs Brighton is a crucial matchup, with Polymarket forecasting a 50% chance that Tottenham will be relegated
Tottenham Hotspur this season has surged from Europa League champions all the way to the relegation zone, facing a relegation battle. In the 14 matches without a win, the team has been hit by a series of injuries and a change in head coach, and an ESPN report says that poor passing ability is a key factor. Sunday’s match against Brighton will be a do-or-die game for survival; if they lose, it will seriously affect morale and the standings. Successful survival requires three major conditions, and for a former “pyramid” club, relegation will inevitably cause a major loss.
ChainNewsAbmedia14h ago
Hong Kong SFC Investment Committee Warns Prediction Market Trading May Constitute Illegal Gambling
The Hong Kong SFC warns that prediction markets are speculative and not investment products, lacking regulatory protection. They involve gambling elements, potentially making them illegal. The committee urges the public to differentiate between investment and gambling.
GateNews17h ago
Prediction Markets Show Stark Wealth Concentration: 84% of Traders Lose Money
Prediction markets show stark wealth concentration, with 84.1% of Polymarket traders losing money, while just 0.04% hold over 70% of profits. Legislative efforts like the BETS OFF Act aim to regulate betting on sensitive events, as concerns rise over user protections amid the entry of major financial institutions.
GateNews04-17 19:41
DAZN Partners with ADI Predictstreet to Launch Blockchain Prediction Market for 2026 World Cup
DAZN partners with ADI Predictstreet to introduce a blockchain prediction market for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Users can engage in real-time predictions, utilizing advanced technology for privacy and scalability, despite regulatory challenges in Europe.
GateNews04-17 14:31
Hong Kong Suspends Basketball Betting Project Amid Concerns Over Prediction Markets and Illegal Gambling
Hong Kong's government has suspended its basketball betting project due to concerns over the rapid growth of prediction markets linked to illegal gambling. With monthly trading volumes rising dramatically, authorities aim to enhance public education and collaborate on measures against gambling.
GateNews04-17 08:01
