Gate News: In 2026, despite escalating geopolitical conflicts and increasing macroeconomic uncertainties, Bitcoin remains stable around $70,000, demonstrating strong resilience. Tensions in Iran, rising oil prices, and delayed Fed rate cut expectations should have pressured risk assets, but Bitcoin’s price has shown no significant decline. This performance was once seen as a sign of solid demand support in the market.
However, based on on-chain data and institutional fund flows, some key indicators are signaling different trends. First, the CEX premium, which reflects US market sentiment, continues to decline. This indicator measures the price difference between the US and global markets and usually stays positive during bull markets. Recently, the premium has dropped to a one-month low and even turned into a discount, indicating weakened buying interest among US investors.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin spot ETF fund flows have also failed to maintain strength. Although there was a total net inflow of about $1.53 billion in March 2026, ending previous outflows, most of the funds were concentrated at the beginning of the month. Subsequent inflows slowed significantly, with only about $195 million, suggesting institutional participation is becoming more cautious. The market generally believes that sustained stable ETF inflows are a key driver for Bitcoin’s further rise.
Vikram Subburaj, CEO of Indian exchange Giottus, pointed out that institutional demand has not disappeared but has become more selective and dispersed, making it difficult to generate the concentrated momentum seen earlier.
In this context, while Bitcoin’s price has held above a key psychological level, its upward momentum faces challenges. If institutional inflows do not accelerate again and macro conditions remain tight, the market may enter a period of consolidation. In the short term, the $70,000 range will likely become the core battleground for bulls and bears. (CoinDesk)
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