Gate News消息，美国总统特朗普与伊朗达成期两周的停火协议后，加密市场迅速转强。比特币价格一度突破72,000美元，24小时涨幅接近5%；以太坊同步走高至约2,257美元，涨幅约6%。市场情绪从此前的避险转向风险偏好，资金快速回流加密资产。
此前，特朗普曾对伊朗发出强硬警告，并设定霍尔木兹海峡开放期限，引发市场剧烈波动。美国对伊朗能源设施的打击一度推高WTI原油价格至115.8美元，加剧通胀预期并压制风险资产表现。在油价飙升阶段，比特币与以太坊出现回调，显示其对宏观环境高度敏感。
随着停火消息落地，局势缓和预期提升，能源价格回落空间打开，市场风险情绪修复。sFOX高管Diana Pires指出，停火触发了大量空头头寸平仓，形成典型的“空头挤压”，成为本轮上涨的重要推动力。此前市场累积的看跌仓位，在消息刺激下被迅速反向清算，放大了价格涨幅。
从结构上看，比特币和以太坊正逐步呈现出与全球流动性和宏观变量联动的特征。能源价格、通胀预期以及利率路径均会影响资金配置方向。当油价走高、降息预期减弱时，加密资产承压；反之，风险偏好回升则利于价格反弹。
短期来看，停火协议为市场提供了喘息窗口，但趋势延续仍取决于后续谈判进展及全球流动性环境变化。若局势再次紧张或油价重新走高，加密市场波动可能迅速放大。当前阶段，比特币与以太坊走势仍将围绕宏观预期展开博弈。
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