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ETHUSDT 4h Market Trend Analysis Report
Current price: 4523.65 USDT
24-hour change: -2.004%
Main support level: 4432.63 USDT
Main resistance level: 4637.63 USDT
Current trend: oscillating bearish
Detailed explanation:
Technical Indicators Summary:
Moving Average System: Bearish Arrangement. The current price is below MA5 (4511.80), MA10 (4558.46), and MA20 (4618.62), indicating a bearish trend for the short and medium term. MA120 (4425.56) serves as a long-term moving average, and the current price remains above it, but there is significant pressure from the short-term moving averages.
MACD: Dead cross in operation. DIF (4.50) is below DEA (29.26), and the histogram is negative (-24.76), indicating bearish momentum dominance.
BOLL: The price is near the lower band (4468.78), with %B at 0.17%, indicating that the price is close to the oversold area but has not yet broken through the lower band. The bandwidth contraction (0.07%) suggests low volatility, which may be brewing a breakout.
RSI: Neutral to weak. RSI6 (36.29) is close to the oversold area, while RSI12 (43.96) and RSI14 (45.87) show neutrality, with no significant divergence.
KDJ: Dead cross in operation. K (23.92) is close to D (23.46), and J (24.84) is slightly higher than both, indicating a potential short-term rebound, but the strength is limited.
Indicator data:
Funding rate: 0.00464500%, neutral long-short sentiment, no obvious extreme values.
Volume change: Recent K-line shows that the trading volume increases during price declines (such as during the 1757073600000 period with a decline accompanied by a trading volume of 3.21 million) and decreases during rebounds, indicating a bearish dominance.
Capital flow data:
Contract funds: 24H net outflow of 1.378 billion USDT, 3D net outflow of 3.863 billion USDT, indicating that leveraged funds continue to withdraw.
Spot funds: 24H net inflow of 25.56 million USDT, but 3D net outflow of 364 million USDT. Short-term bottom-fishing funds are entering the market, but long-term sentiment remains cautious.
Analysis result
Direction: Cautiously short. The current price is at the lower edge of the oscillation range, but the technical indicators resonate bearish, and the capital flow shows a dominance of short positions.
Timing for Entry:
Radical: Short with a light position near the current price of 4523.65, with a stop loss set at 4637.63 (above the resistance level).
Conservatives: Wait for the price to rebound to 4580-4600 (where MA5 intersects with MA10) before entering a short position.
Stop-loss setting: 3%-5% (recommended above 4637.63, about 2.5% range).
Target price: 4432.63 (Support Level 1), if it breaks below, can look at 4345.32 (Support Level 2), with a potential return of 2%-4%. If it breaks 4432.63 with strong volume, can increase position with a target of more than 5%.
Note: This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice!