#预测市场 I became a bit cautious when I saw predict.fun go live. Multi-million dollar trading volume, CZ platform, airdrop events—I've seen this combination too many times. Prediction markets are a promising sector, but the problem is that whenever a "new project + positive news + airdrop" triangle appears, it's often the beginning of a harvest.

My experience is to look at the fundamentals first and then the hype. predict.fun relies on BNB Chain, has founders with exchange backgrounds, and is backed by capital—these are all plus points. But the key is not to be fooled by initial trading volume and airdrop activities. Historically, many projects have used this routine to lure retail investors, and once the relay is complete, the project begins to slow down and drain liquidity.

What truly deserves attention is the platform's long-term design: Are user funds genuinely generating returns, or just appearing to generate returns? Is the fee structure reasonable, or are there hidden charges? What is the founding team's attitude towards risk?

If you insist on participating, my advice is to start small and avoid going all-in on airdrops. Prediction markets seem to have low barriers, but in reality, the risks are as high as gambling. Those who last long are always those who know how to maintain restraint amid the hype.