Bull and Bear Cycles: Logic for Selecting Cryptocurrencies
In an era of volatile financial assets, more and more investors are turning their attention to crypto assets. When it comes to choosing coins, there is a classic saying in the community worth pondering: “In a bull market, chase altcoins; in a bear market, buy mainstreams.” This is not a whim; there is solid logic behind it.
During bull markets, altcoins are easily driven by hype, often experiencing gains far exceeding those of mainstream coins. But the price comes with extremely high risk—they can skyrocket or plummet to zero. In contrast, mainstream coins, while more conservative in gains, are more resilient and less likely to go to zero, making them more suitable for surviving bear markets.
Therefore, the first step in choosing coins is to assess the current market trend. Then consider factors like notoriety, trading volume, liquidity, and application scenarios. Don’t follow the crowd blindly; position yourself based on your risk tolerance and trading cycle.
A Quick Look at the Top Ten Cryptocurrency Market Caps
As of January 2026, the top-ranked crypto assets by market cap usually represent the projects with the strongest market consensus. They are not only high-quality themselves but often influence the overall sector trend. Let’s look at the current ranking landscape:
Rank
Coin
Circulating Market Cap
Market Share
Year of Birth
24h Change
1
Bitcoin (BTC)
$1,875.50B
55.51%
2008
+2.71%
2
Ethereum (ETH)
$384.48B
11.38%
2014
+1.47%
3
Ripple (XRP)
$132.70B
6.47%
2011
+4.64%
4
Tether (USDT)
~$167B
~4.95%
2014
0%
5
Binance Coin (BNB)
$124.72B
3.69%
2017
+1.36%
6
Solana (SOL)
$76.31B
2.47%
2020
+0.25%
7
USDC
$75.36B
2.23%
2018
0%
8
TRON (TRX)
$27.71B
0.82%
2017
-0.56%
9
Dogecoin (DOGE)
$25.31B
0.74%
2013
-0.50%
10
Cardano (ADA)
$15.20B
0.55%
2017
+3.06%
Note: This ranking is not set in stone. Once-glamorous altcoins like Filecoin, Luna, Polkadot have fallen out of the top ten. They were once hyped due to market narratives but were eventually sold off because of high volatility and risk. Rankings are only for reference; never go all-in on a single coin—diversification remains the key.
8 Crypto Assets Worth Paying Attention To
1. Bitcoin (BTC)—The Unshakable Digital Gold
As the pioneer of crypto, Bitcoin has long dominated half of the entire sector. After the US SEC approved spot ETFs in 2024, institutional funds flooded in, pushing prices upward.
BTC’s scarcity is its core advantage: fixed supply of 21 million coins, with halving events every four years, creating a significant supply reduction effect. The latest inflation rate is controlled below 0.80%, aligning with traditional assets’ store-of-value functions.
Main strengths: Highest security and consensus, long-term inflation hedge
2. Ethereum (ETH)—The Ecosystem Hub
Thanks to its smart contract capabilities, Ethereum attracts countless developers building applications on its platform. This elevates ETH from a mere token to a demand-driven asset. Although its market cap is less than BTC, its trading volume consistently remains at 60-70% of BTC, indicating high market liquidity recognition.
Data shows Ethereum’s ecosystem TVL (Total Value Locked) reaches $93.1 billion, ranking first among all blockchains. Additionally, ETH is the second crypto asset approved for spot ETFs after BTC, further attracting traditional financial inflows.
Main strengths: Rich application scenarios, most mature DeFi ecosystem
3. TAO (Bittensor)—Beneficiary of the AI Wave
With explosive growth in AI technology, integrating AI with blockchain has become a market focus. TAO emerged, backed by the Bittensor network, which creates a decentralized machine learning service marketplace. Users can buy AI model services on nodes using TAO.
Interestingly, TAO’s design borrows from Bitcoin, with a fixed total supply of 21 million and a gradual halving mechanism. Currently priced at $264.10, with a 24h change of -1.60%.
Main strengths: Riding the AI trend, scarcity design similar to mainstream coins
XRP is backed by Ripple Inc., which has established partnerships with many government agencies and financial institutions worldwide. This provides XRP with rare institutional endorsement.
Technically, XRP can process 1,500-3,400 transactions per second (actual TPS around 500-700), far surpassing Bitcoin’s 7 TPS and Ethereum’s 15-30 TPS. For financial institutions and enterprises, this performance is ideal. Current price is $2.19, with a 24h increase of +4.64%.
Main strengths: High institutional recognition, clear payment application scenarios
5. Solana (SOL)—Representative of High-Performance Public Chains
SOL is known as the “Ethereum Killer” due to its fast processing speed and low fees. Using parallel processing technology, its theoretical throughput reaches 65,000 TPS, and it can maintain around 3,000-4,000 TPS in practice, crushing other mainstream chains.
Transaction fees are also remarkably low, with average transaction cost only $0.00025, offering excellent cost-performance. Current price: $135.44.
Main strengths: Top performance, lowest fees
6-8. Other Notable Mainstream Coins
Chainlink (LINK, current $13.71): A bridge connecting blockchain with real-world data, with clear oracle infrastructure attributes—not an air coin.
Dogecoin (DOGE, current $0.15): Backed by Musk’s ongoing support; his tweets often trigger sharp price swings. Although born as a joke, it has persisted due to community culture and celebrity influence.
Cardano (ADA, current $0.41, +3.06% 24h): An established blockchain project with a unique academic background and R&D philosophy.
Stablecoins vs. Non-Stablecoins: How to Allocate?
Crypto assets can be divided into stablecoins and non-stablecoins based on whether they are pegged to fiat currency.
Stablecoins (like USDT, USDC) are pegged 1:1 to USD, with volatility usually within 1% (except in extreme cases). The advantage is asset safety, but they hardly generate any appreciation—suitable only as cash reserves.
Non-stablecoins (BTC, ETH, TAO, XRP, SOL, DOGE, etc.) have shown impressive performance in every bull cycle. For example, XRP rose from $0.2 to $1.8 in the last bull run (800% increase), while BTC reached about 1,800% (though XRP later underperformed due to regulatory issues).
Conclusion:
Conservative investors: Focus on BTC and ETH, the most stable options
Growth investors: Add main coins like DOGE, ADA, SOL for trading
Aggressive investors: Watch high-volatility assets like MEME coins, but monitor closely; high risk
Spot Long-Term vs. Short-Term Trading: The Truth
Many beginners think only the top ten by market cap are suitable for long-term holding, but both long and short-term strategies can work—key is choosing the right approach.
Why is long-term better for beginners?
Short-term, especially day trading, requires systematic trading strategies, position management skills, and strong psychological resilience—all often lacking in beginners. Long-term investing has a much lower threshold; just understanding basic buy/sell operations and market cap levels is enough to get started.
Why is long-term more likely to yield high returns?
On the surface, short-term trading seems to generate higher returns by constantly buying low and selling high, increasing the principal base. But in reality, no one can predict market movements with 100% accuracy. The result is often small gains turned into big losses—buying high and selling low repeatedly, leading to significant losses.
I have personally experienced this frustration. In 2018, I bought three BTC near the arc bottom (~$5,000), sold at $7,000, only to see it rise to $12,000 later. I was so regretful I felt sick. Fortunately, the 312 event gave me a second chance to buy in.
In contrast, long-term holding is about locking in the upward trend, avoiding missing out due to market prediction errors.
Asset security comes first
Enduring the bear market to reach the bull is hard enough; if one day you find your assets stolen, it’s heartbreaking. Always protect your passwords and wallet private keys, and avoid using unknown DApps on your wallet.
Avoid These Three Common Pitfalls for Beginners
1. Don’t Be Fooled by the “Decimal Trap” of Altcoins
Many beginners like to buy cheap coins, especially those with many zeros after the decimal point. They think that if the price reaches a dime, owning millions or billions of coins can make them rich.
The reality is harsh: these altcoins either go to zero or are on the way there. Even worse, beginners often swap high-market-cap mainstream coins for a bunch of trash coins, ending up empty-handed on both ends.
2. Don’t Fool Yourself into Saying “I Will Hold Long-Term”
Long-term holding seems simple but is very hard to execute. When prices rise, you want to lock in profits and sell; when they fall, you want to cut losses and exit. As long as you keep watching the K-line charts, the urge to sell will constantly tempt your mind.
Solution: Clarify your trading goals, combine long and short strategies, and keep funds on different platforms or accounts. Further, transfer assets into cold wallets for physical isolation, preventing impulsive selling from the source.
3. Don’t Ignore the Importance of Stop-Loss
Not understanding stop-loss is a main reason for losing money. Set a stop-loss level; when the price breaks a key support, execute automatically. The less emotional, the better.
Final Investment Tips
Market cap ranking: Only a reference, not gospel. Projects like Filecoin and Luna, once stars, have been eliminated by history.
Coin selection: There is no absolute best; only what suits the current market and your personal style.
Return expectations: Don’t expect overnight riches. Rational expectations are that, over a full bull-bear cycle (~4 years), mainstream coins can bring reasonable but not exaggerated gains.
Mindset adjustment: Investing in crypto is fundamentally participating in the growth of an emerging asset class. Keep learning, continuously improve your understanding—this is the core of long-term profitability.
Crypto market cap rankings will change, but the logic behind choosing coins and investment principles remain unchanged. Based on your trading goals, combined with current market trends, rational allocation is the smartest approach.
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Top 10 Cryptocurrency Market Capitalization + 8 Major Potential Coins Investment Guide: How Beginners Can Buy the Dip?
Bull and Bear Cycles: Logic for Selecting Cryptocurrencies
In an era of volatile financial assets, more and more investors are turning their attention to crypto assets. When it comes to choosing coins, there is a classic saying in the community worth pondering: “In a bull market, chase altcoins; in a bear market, buy mainstreams.” This is not a whim; there is solid logic behind it.
During bull markets, altcoins are easily driven by hype, often experiencing gains far exceeding those of mainstream coins. But the price comes with extremely high risk—they can skyrocket or plummet to zero. In contrast, mainstream coins, while more conservative in gains, are more resilient and less likely to go to zero, making them more suitable for surviving bear markets.
Therefore, the first step in choosing coins is to assess the current market trend. Then consider factors like notoriety, trading volume, liquidity, and application scenarios. Don’t follow the crowd blindly; position yourself based on your risk tolerance and trading cycle.
A Quick Look at the Top Ten Cryptocurrency Market Caps
As of January 2026, the top-ranked crypto assets by market cap usually represent the projects with the strongest market consensus. They are not only high-quality themselves but often influence the overall sector trend. Let’s look at the current ranking landscape:
Note: This ranking is not set in stone. Once-glamorous altcoins like Filecoin, Luna, Polkadot have fallen out of the top ten. They were once hyped due to market narratives but were eventually sold off because of high volatility and risk. Rankings are only for reference; never go all-in on a single coin—diversification remains the key.
8 Crypto Assets Worth Paying Attention To
1. Bitcoin (BTC)—The Unshakable Digital Gold
As the pioneer of crypto, Bitcoin has long dominated half of the entire sector. After the US SEC approved spot ETFs in 2024, institutional funds flooded in, pushing prices upward.
BTC’s scarcity is its core advantage: fixed supply of 21 million coins, with halving events every four years, creating a significant supply reduction effect. The latest inflation rate is controlled below 0.80%, aligning with traditional assets’ store-of-value functions.
Main strengths: Highest security and consensus, long-term inflation hedge
2. Ethereum (ETH)—The Ecosystem Hub
Thanks to its smart contract capabilities, Ethereum attracts countless developers building applications on its platform. This elevates ETH from a mere token to a demand-driven asset. Although its market cap is less than BTC, its trading volume consistently remains at 60-70% of BTC, indicating high market liquidity recognition.
Data shows Ethereum’s ecosystem TVL (Total Value Locked) reaches $93.1 billion, ranking first among all blockchains. Additionally, ETH is the second crypto asset approved for spot ETFs after BTC, further attracting traditional financial inflows.
Main strengths: Rich application scenarios, most mature DeFi ecosystem
3. TAO (Bittensor)—Beneficiary of the AI Wave
With explosive growth in AI technology, integrating AI with blockchain has become a market focus. TAO emerged, backed by the Bittensor network, which creates a decentralized machine learning service marketplace. Users can buy AI model services on nodes using TAO.
Interestingly, TAO’s design borrows from Bitcoin, with a fixed total supply of 21 million and a gradual halving mechanism. Currently priced at $264.10, with a 24h change of -1.60%.
Main strengths: Riding the AI trend, scarcity design similar to mainstream coins
4. Ripple (XRP)—Institution-Recognized Cross-Border Payment Solution
XRP is backed by Ripple Inc., which has established partnerships with many government agencies and financial institutions worldwide. This provides XRP with rare institutional endorsement.
Technically, XRP can process 1,500-3,400 transactions per second (actual TPS around 500-700), far surpassing Bitcoin’s 7 TPS and Ethereum’s 15-30 TPS. For financial institutions and enterprises, this performance is ideal. Current price is $2.19, with a 24h increase of +4.64%.
Main strengths: High institutional recognition, clear payment application scenarios
5. Solana (SOL)—Representative of High-Performance Public Chains
SOL is known as the “Ethereum Killer” due to its fast processing speed and low fees. Using parallel processing technology, its theoretical throughput reaches 65,000 TPS, and it can maintain around 3,000-4,000 TPS in practice, crushing other mainstream chains.
Transaction fees are also remarkably low, with average transaction cost only $0.00025, offering excellent cost-performance. Current price: $135.44.
Main strengths: Top performance, lowest fees
6-8. Other Notable Mainstream Coins
Chainlink (LINK, current $13.71): A bridge connecting blockchain with real-world data, with clear oracle infrastructure attributes—not an air coin.
Dogecoin (DOGE, current $0.15): Backed by Musk’s ongoing support; his tweets often trigger sharp price swings. Although born as a joke, it has persisted due to community culture and celebrity influence.
Cardano (ADA, current $0.41, +3.06% 24h): An established blockchain project with a unique academic background and R&D philosophy.
Stablecoins vs. Non-Stablecoins: How to Allocate?
Crypto assets can be divided into stablecoins and non-stablecoins based on whether they are pegged to fiat currency.
Stablecoins (like USDT, USDC) are pegged 1:1 to USD, with volatility usually within 1% (except in extreme cases). The advantage is asset safety, but they hardly generate any appreciation—suitable only as cash reserves.
Non-stablecoins (BTC, ETH, TAO, XRP, SOL, DOGE, etc.) have shown impressive performance in every bull cycle. For example, XRP rose from $0.2 to $1.8 in the last bull run (800% increase), while BTC reached about 1,800% (though XRP later underperformed due to regulatory issues).
Conclusion:
Spot Long-Term vs. Short-Term Trading: The Truth
Many beginners think only the top ten by market cap are suitable for long-term holding, but both long and short-term strategies can work—key is choosing the right approach.
Why is long-term better for beginners?
Short-term, especially day trading, requires systematic trading strategies, position management skills, and strong psychological resilience—all often lacking in beginners. Long-term investing has a much lower threshold; just understanding basic buy/sell operations and market cap levels is enough to get started.
Why is long-term more likely to yield high returns?
On the surface, short-term trading seems to generate higher returns by constantly buying low and selling high, increasing the principal base. But in reality, no one can predict market movements with 100% accuracy. The result is often small gains turned into big losses—buying high and selling low repeatedly, leading to significant losses.
I have personally experienced this frustration. In 2018, I bought three BTC near the arc bottom (~$5,000), sold at $7,000, only to see it rise to $12,000 later. I was so regretful I felt sick. Fortunately, the 312 event gave me a second chance to buy in.
In contrast, long-term holding is about locking in the upward trend, avoiding missing out due to market prediction errors.
Asset security comes first
Enduring the bear market to reach the bull is hard enough; if one day you find your assets stolen, it’s heartbreaking. Always protect your passwords and wallet private keys, and avoid using unknown DApps on your wallet.
Avoid These Three Common Pitfalls for Beginners
1. Don’t Be Fooled by the “Decimal Trap” of Altcoins
Many beginners like to buy cheap coins, especially those with many zeros after the decimal point. They think that if the price reaches a dime, owning millions or billions of coins can make them rich.
The reality is harsh: these altcoins either go to zero or are on the way there. Even worse, beginners often swap high-market-cap mainstream coins for a bunch of trash coins, ending up empty-handed on both ends.
2. Don’t Fool Yourself into Saying “I Will Hold Long-Term”
Long-term holding seems simple but is very hard to execute. When prices rise, you want to lock in profits and sell; when they fall, you want to cut losses and exit. As long as you keep watching the K-line charts, the urge to sell will constantly tempt your mind.
Solution: Clarify your trading goals, combine long and short strategies, and keep funds on different platforms or accounts. Further, transfer assets into cold wallets for physical isolation, preventing impulsive selling from the source.
3. Don’t Ignore the Importance of Stop-Loss
Not understanding stop-loss is a main reason for losing money. Set a stop-loss level; when the price breaks a key support, execute automatically. The less emotional, the better.
Final Investment Tips
Market cap ranking: Only a reference, not gospel. Projects like Filecoin and Luna, once stars, have been eliminated by history.
Coin selection: There is no absolute best; only what suits the current market and your personal style.
Return expectations: Don’t expect overnight riches. Rational expectations are that, over a full bull-bear cycle (~4 years), mainstream coins can bring reasonable but not exaggerated gains.
Mindset adjustment: Investing in crypto is fundamentally participating in the growth of an emerging asset class. Keep learning, continuously improve your understanding—this is the core of long-term profitability.
Crypto market cap rankings will change, but the logic behind choosing coins and investment principles remain unchanged. Based on your trading goals, combined with current market trends, rational allocation is the smartest approach.