WEEKEND WATCHLIST: WILL TOKEN UNLOCKS AND BEARISH MOMENTUM STALL THE 2026 ALTCOIN RALLY?

As we head into the weekend of January 10–11, 2026, the altcoin market is bracing for a series of high-impact events. While some assets like Polygon (POL) are showing signs of life after hitting historic lows, others like Aptos (APT) are facing massive supply shocks that could derail their recovery. Meanwhile, newcomer Midnight (NIGHT) is struggling to maintain investor confidence after a sharp double-digit slide. From speculative dip-buying to major institutional token unlocks, this weekend’s price action will serve as a critical test of market resilience as investors decide whether to hold through the volatility or wait for deeper entries in the low-liquidity weekend environment. I. Polygon (POL): The 37% Rebound and the $0.138 Hurdle

Polygon has become a focal point for speculative interest after printing a new all-time low (ATL) of $0.098 on January 1st. Since that bottom, POL has surged by 37.6%, successfully flipping the 50-day EMA into a support level. The immediate goal for bulls this weekend is to reclaim and hold the $0.138 mark; doing so would open the path toward a secondary target of $0.155. However, the rally remains fragile. If bullish momentum fades, POL could quickly slide back toward $0.129, effectively erasing recent gains and reinstating the bearish pressure that has haunted the asset for much of the previous year. II. Aptos (APT): Bracing for a $20 Million Supply Shock

Aptos holders are looking at a volatile 48 hours as a scheduled token unlock looms over the market. Approximately 11.31 million APT tokens worth roughly $20.58 million are set to enter circulation, potentially flooding the market with sell-side pressure. The asset is already showing weakness, trading near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level after a 7.6% drop. If buyers fail to absorb the newly unlocked supply, APT could descend toward $1.56 or even retest its $1.41 ATL. Conversely, a strong bounce from current levels could lead to a retest of $1.96, though this remains an uphill battle given the current bearish macroeconomic environment. III. Midnight (NIGHT): Fading Confidence and the $0.060 Support

Midnight (NIGHT) is currently the “underperformer” of the trio, having slid 26% after failing to breach the $0.100 psychological resistance. Technical indicators like the Parabolic SAR have flipped into a bearish stance, reinforcing the downward trend as the asset struggles to find a floor. Having lost the $0.075 support, NIGHT is now vulnerable to a further drop toward the $0.0609 level. While a sudden influx of capital could theoretically trigger a moonshot toward its $1.20 all-time high, the current “weak demand” narrative suggests that the weekend may bring more consolidation or further downside rather than an explosive reversal. IV. Essential Financial Disclaimer This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Altcoin markets are subject to extreme volatility, especially during low-liquidity weekend periods. Token unlocks, like the one facing Aptos, introduce significant supply risks that can lead to rapid price declines. Technical indicators and Fibonacci retracement levels are probabilistic tools and do not guarantee future results. Assets mentioned may have limited liquidity or high concentration of ownership. Always conduct your own exhaustive research (DYOR) and consult with a licensed financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Are you buying the Polygon rebound, or are you sitting out the Aptos token unlock?