Fed Governor Notes Fading Crypto Euphoria; Chinese Exchanges Tighten Rules; Senators Query UAE Stake in WLFI

The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in March is 97.5%

ChainCatcher reports that, according to Jintiao, CME "Federal Reserve Watch" shows a 2.5% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points by March, and a 97.5% probability of holding rates steady. By April, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 16.3%, with an 83.4% chance of no change, and a 0.4% chance of a total 50 basis point cut. By June, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 40.3%.

BTC short-term rises by 1.57%: Institutional capital inflow and technical breakout resonance driving the rebound

From 14:30 to 14:45 (UTC) on March 2, 2026, the price of BTC achieved a return of +1.57% within 15 minutes, with the price quickly rising from 65,586.1 USDT to 66,679.6 USDT, an amplitude of 1.67%. Trading volume increased simultaneously, market attention significantly heightened, short-term volatility intensified, attracting a large amount of capital to actively enter the market. The main driving forces behind this abnormal movement come from large-scale institutional capital inflows and continuous ETF subscriptions. Data shows that net inflows related to spot and ETF funds exceeded $180 million, with spot and perpetual contracts

What signals did the US SEC send behind the new 2% discount regulation for stablecoins?

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) issued guidance on payment stablecoins on February 19, allowing broker-dealers to treat stablecoins with a 2% discount when calculating net capital, thereby giving them a legitimate status in capital calculations. This adjustment helps to integrate stablecoins into the mainstream financial system and promotes digital asset trading and services. Peirce's statement and the GENIUS Act could potentially change the market landscape, although federal and state frictions still exist. Nonetheless, this move paves the way for regulatory integration of stablecoins.

JPMorgan Sees CLARITY Act as Catalyst Amid Crypto Sell-Off

The JPMorgan report discusses the proposed CLARITY Act aimed at providing clear regulations for digital assets, potentially passing by mid-2026. Key issues include stablecoin yield permissions and conflict-of-interest rules, which are delaying progress.

European Banking Union advances euro stablecoin plan, with giants like ING and UniCredit aiming for launch in 2026

The Qivalis alliance, composed of several major European banks, is planning to launch a euro-pegged stablecoin, aiming for a 2026 rollout. The goal is to provide a regulated, localized US dollar stablecoin alternative to enhance cross-border payment efficiency. The project adheres to EU regulatory standards, employs a 1:1 reserve mechanism, and supports 24/7 redemption, promoting the adoption of stablecoins in the market.

Atsushi Mimura: The surge in stablecoins may strengthen the US dollar's position as the key currency

ChainCatcher Message, according to Jinshi reports, Japan's top foreign exchange official Jun Mimura stated that the surge in dollar-denominated stablecoins is very likely to strengthen the dollar's position as a key currency.