CryptoChartingGuru

1. The Federal Reserve Change: From "Whether to Change" to "How to Change" Deep Strategic Game
1.1 Timeline and Key Developments
The replacement of the Federal Reserve Chair has entered a substantive countdown phase:
· Powell’s term: set to expire in May 2026, but his term as a Fed Board member will continue until January 31, 2028.
· Trump’s nomination: formally nominated Kevin Woehner, a current Fed Board member, as the next Chair on January 30, 2026; Senate confirmation hearings are expected to commence soon.
· Temporary transition mechanism: Powell has stated that if the new Chair nomin

April 15, 2026 Intraday Analysis
The above analysis is based on public data and statistical models and does not constitute direct investment advice.
Please trade in conjunction with real-time market conditions and personal risk tolerance.
Currency Direction Entry Range Stop Loss Take Profit 1 Take Profit 2
BTC Conservative Long 71,800 - 72,507 1,000 74,500 76k
BTC Aggressive Long 76,500 75,500 78,000 80,000
BTC Conservative Short 76,200 - 76,807 7,500 73,800 72,500
BTC Aggressive Short Break below 73,500 74,300 72,000 70,500
ETH Conservative Short 2,430 ___ 2,480 2,520 2,350 2,

#加密市场回升 📰 April 14, 2026 (Tuesday) Evening Cryptocurrency Market Major News Summary
The evening market sentiment is dominated by two main themes: first, the complex signals of "loose externally, tight internally" in the US-Iran situation; second, the intense "short squeeze" in the derivatives market, with astonishing liquidation data.
🟢 1. Geopolitical Developments: Mixed signals of bullish and bearish indicators, but "peace talks expectations" still support the market
Bullish signals:
· The US and Iran confirm they will hold a second round of negotiations: Both sides agree to continue talks

The strategy provided in the morning has already become invalid in today's sharply rising market, although the long position strategy remains effective but requires adjustment.
1. Current Market Status: Late stage of short squeeze, bulls are taking the initiative
In the past 24 hours, BTC surged from $70,500 to a high of $74,900, ETH from $2,174 to a high of $2,393. This is a typical "short squeeze rebound":
· Liquidation Data: Approximately $208 million in short positions were liquidated across the entire network in the past 24 hours, 2.3 times the long liquidations; long liquidations were on

April 14, 2026 Intraday Analysis
The above analysis is based on public data and statistical models and does not constitute direct investment advice.
Trading should be combined with real-time market conditions and personal risk tolerance.
Currency direction entry, stop loss, take profit 1, take profit 2
Btc long 72,500 - 73,000
71,800
74,500
75,500
Btc short 74,800 - 75,200
75,800
73,500
72,800
Eth long 2,250 ___ 2,280
2,210
2,380
2,450
Eth short 2,390 ___ 2,420 ___ 2,460 ___ 2,300 ___ 2,250 ___
I. Geopolitical and macro environment: Mixed signals, but "peace t

Assets Direction Entry Reference Take Profit Target Stop Loss Reference
BTC Short 71,800 - 72,000 70,500 → 70,000 72,500
BTC Long 70,300 - 70,500 71,500 → 72,000 69,900
ETH Short 2,230 - 2,250 2,170 → 2,140 2,280
ETH Long 2,160 - 2,180 2,220 → 2,250 2,140
---
📌 1. Geopolitics: High risk, bears have the advantage
The situation is escalating rather than easing.
· Negotiation Breakdown: The US-Iran talks ended on April 12 without any agreement, with fundamental disagreements remaining.
· Confrontation Escalation: The next day, President Trump threatened to "blockade" the St

Assets Direction Entry Reference Take Profit Target Stop Loss Reference
BTC Short 71,800 - 72,000 70,500 → 70,000 72,500
BTC Long 70,300 - 70,500 71,500 → 72,000 69,900
ETH Short 2,230 - 2,250 2,170 → 2,140 2,280
ETH Long 2,160 - 2,180 2,220 → 2,250 2,140
---
📌 1. Geopolitics: High risk, bears favored
The situation is escalating rather than easing.
· Negotiation Breakdown: The US-Iran talks ended on April 12 without any agreement, with fundamental disagreements remaining.
· Confrontation Escalation: The next day, U.S. President Trump threatened to "block" the Strait of H

Assets Direction Entry Reference Take Profit Target Stop Loss Reference
BTC Short 71,800 - 72,000 70,500 → 70,000 72,500
BTC Long 70,300 - 70,500 71,500 → 72,000 69,900
ETH Short 2,230 - 2,250 2,170 → 2,140 2,280
ETH Long 2,160 - 2,180 2,220 → 2,250 2,140
---
📌 1. Geopolitics: High risk, bears have the advantage
The situation is escalating rather than easing.
· Negotiation Breakdown: The US-Iran talks ended on April 12 without any agreement, with fundamental disagreements remaining.
· Confrontation Escalation: The next day, U.S. President Trump threatened to "block" the

Assets Direction Entry Reference Take Profit Target Stop Loss Reference
BTC Short 71,800 - 72,000 70,500 → 70,000 72,500
BTC Long 70,300 - 70,500 71,500 → 72,000 69,900
ETH Short 2,230 - 2,250 2,170 → 2,140 2,280
ETH Long 2,160 - 2,180 2,220 → 2,250 2,140
---
📌 1. Geopolitics: High risk, bears favored
The situation is escalating rather than easing.
· Negotiation Breakdown: The US-Iran talks ended on April 12 without any agreement, with fundamental disagreements remaining.
· Confrontation Escalation: The next day, U.S. President Trump threatened to "blockade" the Strait o

Assets Direction Entry Reference Take Profit Target Stop Loss Reference
BTC Short 71,800 - 72,000 70,500 → 70,000 72,500
BTC Long 70,300 - 70,500 71,500 → 72,000 69,900
ETH Short 2,230 - 2,250 2,170 → 2,140 2,280
ETH Long 2,160 - 2,180 2,220 → 2,250 2,140
---
📌 1. Geopolitics: High risk, bears have the advantage
The situation is escalating rather than easing.
· Negotiation Breakdown: The US-Iran talks ended on April 12 without any agreement, with fundamental disagreements remaining.
· Confrontation Escalation: The next day, U.S. President Trump threatened to "blockade" t

Assets Direction Entry Reference Take Profit Target Stop Loss Reference
BTC Short 71,800 - 72,000 70,500 → 70,000 72,500
BTC Long 70,300 - 70,500 71,500 → 72,000 69,900
ETH Short 2,230 - 2,250 2,170 → 2,140 2,280
ETH Long 2,160 - 2,180 2,220 → 2,250 2,140
$ETH
📌 1. Geopolitics: High risk, bears favored
The situation is escalating rather than easing.
· Negotiation breakdown: The US-Iran talks ended on April 12th without any agreement, with fundamental disagreements remaining.
· Confrontation escalation: The next day, President Trump threatened to "blockade" t

April 12, 2026, Intraday Analysis
The above analysis is based on public data and statistical models and does not constitute direct investment advice. Trading should be conducted in combination with real-time market conditions and your personal risk tolerance.
�� Bitcoin BTCUSDT Direction Entry Point Stop Loss Point Take Profit Target 1 Take Profit Target 2
Short (Main) 71,800 – 72,200 73,000 70,800 69,500
Long (Oversold Rebound) 70,500 – 70,800 70,000

April 12, 2026 Intraday Analysis
The above analysis is based on public data and statistical models and does not constitute direct investment advice. Please trade in conjunction with real-time market conditions and your personal risk tolerance.
🔹 Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) Direction
Entry Points | Stop Loss | Take Profit 1 | Take Profit 2
Short (Main) | 71,800 – 72,200 | 73,000 | 70,800 | 69,500
Long (Oversold rebound) | 70,500 – 70,800 | 70,000 | 71,800 | 72,500
🔹 Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Direction
Entry Points | Stop Loss | Take Profit 1 | Take Profit 2
Short (Main) | 2,220 – 2,250 | 2,290 |

According to the latest developments, today’s US-Iran negotiations have begun as scheduled in Islamabad, the capital of Pakistan. Market reactions are relatively calm, with BTC still fluctuating around $72,900, and ETH consolidating near $2,245, indicating that the earlier optimistic sentiment has been largely digested.
Currently, the core of the negotiations is not "reconciliation," but a high-stakes game over key issues such as uranium enrichment, control of the Strait of Hormuz, and a ceasefire in Lebanon, with significant disagreements, making a comprehensive agreement unlikely.
🎲 Lif

April 11, 2026 Intraday Analysis
The above analysis is based on public data and statistical models and does not constitute direct investment advice.
Trading should be combined with real-time market conditions and personal risk tolerance.
· ETH Long Positions: Entry $2,195 - $2,210, Stop Loss $2,170**, Take Profit **$2,250 / $2,275
· ETH Short Positions: Entry $2,290 - $2,310, Stop Loss $2,335**, Take Profit **$2,250 / $2,210
· BTC Long Positions: Entry $71,800 - $72,200, Stop Loss $71,300**, Take Profit **$73,200 / $73,800
· BTC Short Positions: Entry $73,800 - $74,200, Stop Loss $

Based on current information, the sudden rise in the cryptocurrency market (the crypto circle) on the evening of April 10, 2026, was not driven by a single event, but rather the result of a resonance of three forces: macro geopolitical turning points, intense derivatives market speculation, and structural deep changes in the market within a short period.
🌍 Macro Trigger: Signals of Easing in Middle Eastern Geopolitical Tensions
The most direct driving force behind the market rally comes from a series of expectations of easing in regional conflicts in the Middle East:
· US-Iran Ceasefire Signa

1. Macroeconomic Focus: CPI Data Coming Soon, Market Holds Its Breath $BTC
Tonight (Beijing Time 20:30), the US will release March CPI data, marking the first comprehensive reflection of "Iranian Premium" inflation since the Iran conflict erupted in late February, attracting high market attention.
· Market Expectation: Month-on-month increase of about 0.9%, a significant margin. If inflation data exceeds expectations, it will directly reinforce the Fed's stance to maintain high interest rates, potentially pushing US Treasury yields and the US dollar index higher, and exerting short-term selli