#美国经济指标分析 Looking back at history, one can't help but recall the government shutdown in 1995. At that time, the Clinton administration and the Republicans were deadlocked over the budget, resulting in significant economic losses. Now, the $11 billion GDP loss revealed by Treasury Secretary Bessette is truly lamentable. This kind of cyclical political game always comes at the expense of the economy.
From an investor's perspective, government shutdowns often trigger market volatility. Thinking back to the 16-day shutdown in 2013, the S&P 500 index immediately dropped 2% after the news broke. In

#比特币市场分析 Looking back at Bitcoin's history, such market volatility is not uncommon. Since its inception in 2009, Bitcoin has gone through multiple cycles of sharp rises and falls. The current market focus on whether Bitcoin has bottomed reminds me of the bear market trough in 2018. Back then, many people were also waiting for signs of a rebound from the bottom.
Today, Bitcoin is much more closely correlated with traditional financial markets and is no longer an independent niche asset. As Peter Tchir's analysis shows, Bitcoin has formed complex linkages with the stock market, ETFs, and other

#美国经济政策变化 Looking back, I have witnessed many changes in economic cycles. The strange divergence in US economic data this time inevitably reminds me of the various signs before the 2008 financial crisis. Back then, the job market appeared strong, but there were hidden concerns in the economic fundamentals.
Now, the labor market seems to be cooling down, but GDP and productivity remain robust. This contradiction is puzzling and presents a policy dilemma for the Federal Reserve. History tells us that divergences in economic indicators often signal major turning points.
I have personally experie

#加密货币市场波动 Looking back at the past volatility of the cryptocurrency market, I can’t help but feel emotional. This time, with Bitcoin breaking through $88,000 and the total market cap returning to $3 trillion, it feels as though we’re reliving the peak of the 2021 bull market. But history tells us that volatility is the norm. I remember the bear market in 2018, when Bitcoin fell from $20,000 to $3,000, causing many to lose confidence. Today, those who held on have already reaped several times the returns.
This rebound from $80,600 to $86,818, a 7.7% increase, is truly exciting. But we need to

#比特币价格走势分析 Looking back at history, it's not hard to see that the Bitcoin market is always full of drama. This time, the fact that BlackRock’s IBIT fund saw net outflows of over $1 billion in a single week inevitably brings to mind the crash of 2018. At that time, there was also a massive panic sell-off by investors, which led to a market plunge. But history tells us that after every major drop, a new bull market eventually follows.
Currently, the price of Bitcoin has fallen below $90,000, hitting a new seven-month low. From a technical perspective, the price has dropped below both the 50-day

#加密货币ETF发展 Looking back at the development of cryptocurrency over the years, the launch of ETFs was once considered a major milestone. But the current situation inevitably reminds me of those earlier days—new things always come with hope and uncertainty. In hindsight, ETFs did indeed bring a surge to Bitcoin, but the market now seems to be undergoing a structural adjustment. Capital outflows, declining treasury premiums, and a reduction in stablecoin supply—all these signs are reminding us that the driving force behind the bull market may be fading.
From historical experience, such cyclical c

#美联储降息预期 Looking back, I can't help but feel a surge of emotions. After the 2008 financial crisis, the Federal Reserve launched large-scale quantitative easing, ushering in more than a decade of ultra-low interest rates. Now, the market is once again filled with expectations of rate cuts. According to CME data, the probability of a 25-basis-point cut in December has exceeded 65%. This reminds me of the rate-cutting cycle in 2019, which also started at the end of the year.
History is always strikingly similar. Whenever the economy faces downward pressure, rate cuts become the market's lifeline

#比特币价格分析 Looking back at Bitcoin’s history, the RSI indicator has repeatedly and accurately signaled market turning points. Now, the RSI has once again entered the extremely oversold zone, which reminds me of the situations at the end of 2018 and in March 2020. At those times, market sentiment was similarly depressed, but significant rebounds soon followed. However, every cycle is different in its details, so we can’t simply apply past experience.
The current macro environment is complex, with geopolitical tensions and an uncertain global economic outlook. These factors may all impact Bitcoin

#全球市场波动 Looking back at the recent sharp fluctuations in the US stock market reminds me of the situation during the 2008 financial crisis. Back then, similar panic spread across the markets, with investors seeking ways to hedge risks. However, the current market environment is somewhat different, as the strong performance of tech giants like Nvidia has injected some positive factors into the market.
From a historical perspective, such extreme volatility often signals an upcoming market turning point. The data cited by Goldman Sachs is quite interesting—since 1957, there have only been 8 insta

#美联储货币政策 Looking back at history, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy has always had a profound impact on global financial markets. Currently, we are once again standing at a policy turning point. The recent statements from several Fed officials have attracted widespread market attention. Collins and Logan have expressed caution toward a rate cut in December, believing that keeping rates unchanged is more beneficial for assessing the situation. Williams, on the other hand, has suggested that a rate cut is still possible in the short term, indicating internal disagreements.
This reminds me o

#DEX发展趋势 Looking back at the history of DEX development, it’s hard not to think of EtherDelta in 2017. At that time, decentralized exchanges were still a novelty, and the interface was so rudimentary that people called it “super geeky.” Who could have imagined that just a few years later, DEXs like Uniswap would sometimes surpass centralized exchanges in trading volume?
In this bull-bear cycle, DEXs have indeed demonstrated strong vitality. But right now, the CEO of CryptoQuant reminds us that the market weakness has exceeded expectations and that a strong rebound is unlikely in the short ter

#比特币ETF资金流动分析 Looking back at so many years in the Bitcoin market, I have witnessed countless ups and downs. The volatility triggered by the recent Bitcoin ETF fund flows reminds me of several key moments from the past.
At the peak of the bull market at the end of 2017, a huge influx of retail investors created a frenzied price bubble. Today, what we see is institutional capital moving in and out through ETFs, influencing the direction of the market. Although the participants have changed, the essence of the market seems to remain largely the same.
The current impact of the options market on

#加密货币市场行情分析 Looking back at history, I have witnessed too many ups and downs in the market. The current trend reminds me of the frenzy at the end of 2017. Back then, everyone was talking about Bitcoin, and it seemed as if the whole world had gone crazy overnight. But what followed was a bear market in 2018 that lasted more than a year.
Now, seeing Bitwise advisor Jeff Park's analysis that market volatility is tending toward "strike price stickiness" is truly thought-provoking. It means that market participants have a strong consensus around certain price points, rather than just engaging in s

Looking back at more than a decade of Federal Reserve policies, it’s not hard to spot a pattern: whenever market sentiment is exuberant, it’s often the eve of an imminent tightening of monetary policy. This time is no exception. The recent corrections in the U.S. stock and cryptocurrency markets are precisely a reaction to expectations that the Fed may delay rate cuts. Strong employment data has reduced unemployment risks, and market expectations for a rate cut in December have dropped significantly. Having experienced multiple cycles, I know well that such volatility often harbors opportuniti

#美股市场走势 Looking back on the project experiences over the years, I can't help but reflect on the cyclical nature of the market. Yilihua's ETH bottom-fishing strategy got me thinking. From buying the dip at $1,450 to selling off at $4,500, and now redeploying in the $3,000–3,300 range, this series of moves is quite astute.
I also went through similar market cycles back in the day. I remember at the end of 2017 when Bitcoin was surging, many people were frantically chasing the highs, but seasoned veterans were already gradually cashing out. The situation then is so similar to what we see today.

#美联储货币政策 Looking back at history, the inflation crisis of the 1980s is still fresh in our minds. At that time, the Federal Reserve sharply raised interest rates to curb inflation, but this triggered a severe recession. Now, facing similar choices, Hammack's warning is worth heeding. Excessively loose monetary policy can indeed fuel financial bubbles and increase systemic risk. However, excessive tightening can stifle economic vitality. Finding the right balance is key. The current financial environment is relatively accommodative, and the stock market is performing strongly, so further rate c

#比特币价格分析与预测 Looking back at the development of Bitcoin, such cyclical fluctuations are not uncommon. Since its inception in 2009, Bitcoin has experienced multiple bull and bear cycles. Robert Kiyosaki's recent sale of Bitcoin actually reflects a seasoned investor's grasp of market cycles. He bought in at $6,000 and sold at $90,000, making a substantial profit. This kind of operation is reminiscent of the frenzied bull market at the end of 2013, when Bitcoin soared from around $200 to over $1,000.
However, current market sentiment is indeed gloomy. Bitcoin has dropped from its $126,000 high to

#加密货币市场波动 Looking back at the market fluctuations over the years, I can't help but feel a lot of emotions. The current market conditions remind me of the big drop at the end of 2018, when Bitcoin also fell from $20,000 to just over $3,000. Now, seeing the multiple bottoming signals mentioned by Benson Sun, as well as the market volatility characteristics analyzed by Jeff Park, it does give people some hope.
But we can’t be blindly optimistic. History tells us that the market always bottoms out when people are most desperate, and peaks when they are most euphoric. Chris Burniske is right—there

#市场流动性状况 Looking back at history, the liquidity contraction around Thanksgiving every year always makes the market rather tense. This year is no exception; with a shortened trading week next week, market liquidity is expected to drop sharply. This situation reminds me of the 2008 financial crisis, when, similarly around Thanksgiving, liquidity exhaustion triggered a series of chain reactions. However, the current situation is somewhat different from back then. The Federal Reserve is now more vigilant, and various policy tools are more abundant. But we still need to be cautious, because histor

#比特币价格走势 I’ve witnessed too many ups and downs in Bitcoin’s price. Seeing Michael Saylor post and encourage everyone to “hold on” this time inevitably reminds me of the big crash in 2018. Back then, a lot of people panicked and sold at a loss. But those who held on tasted the rewards again in the 2021 bull market.
The market is always cyclical. Although the drop is steep now, history tells us that patience often pays off. Saylor said they would only sell Bitcoin if it dropped below $10,000, which is truly admirable courage. However, for regular investors, it’s still important to act within yo