DurhamLiveNewsUpdates

Based on Jintou data and contract indicators, the crypto market tonight is leaning towards bearish (60%-70%), more likely to experience "sharp rise and fall / oscillating downward," with higher risk of correction for highly elastic coins (such as PEPE).
Core basis (Jintou + Contract perspective)
- Macro and sentiment: BTC briefly surged to 93,000 before pulling back. The Fear & Greed Index remains in extreme fear (20), diverging from the price, indicating insufficient bullish confidence. Under geopolitical disturbances, gold/USD strengthened, funds may be diverted, and the safe-haven attribute

As of 12:00 on January 5, 2026, the major negative news for MEME tokens today is concentrated in three areas: macro risk aversion intensification, regulatory and unlocking selling pressure, and capital and sentiment retreat. Combined with some inherent weaknesses of certain tokens, this increases the risk of sharp declines.
1. Major Negative News (by impact weight)
1. Macro Risk Aversion Surge (Most Critical)
- Trump’s “lightning strike” operation in Venezuela triggered geopolitical risks, leading funds to withdraw from high-volatility assets like MEME tokens and shift into safe-haven assets s

#PEPE As of 2:00 on January 5, 2026, PEPE has not shown clear signs of topping out, but there are risks of partial short-term profit-taking and selling pressure. The overall pattern remains oscillating and weak, with no conditions for a confirmed trend top. The following are comprehensive assessments and operational suggestions:
1. Core Dimension Judgment (Market + Whales + Technical)
- Market Sentiment: Cryptocurrency fear and greed index is neutral to slightly optimistic. BTC stabilizes around $90,000 after fluctuation. Mainstream coins are recovering, but MEME sector funds are clearly flowi

#FARTCOIN As of 2026-01-04 16:30 (Jinshi Data standard), FARTCOIN is bearish today, with a high probability of short-term correction.

Core Judgment Basis

- Price and Volume: 1-hour chart shows a 1.21% decline in the past hour; 24H slightly up but with decreasing volume within the day, insufficient buying momentum, and lack of volume support for a rebound.
- Technical Indicators: 4-hour KDJ in overbought zone turning down, MACD red bars shrinking, difficult for inflow of funds to break previous highs, prone to false breakouts followed by pullbacks.
- Market Environment: Overall crypto marke

As of 2026-01-04 15:40 (Golden Ten Data standard), today's crypto market is leaning towards bearish signals, with decreased volume, cautious institutions, and macro divergences suppressing risk appetite. The only remaining bullish factors are structural and long-term supports, which are unlikely to offset short-term pressures.
Core assessment basis (Golden Ten Data + related indicators)
- Macro and institutions: The Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations fluctuate; Fed Chair Powell's statement that "rate cuts will not be implemented immediately" suggests the window may be delayed until mid-ye

#PEPE PEPE Technical Analysis (As of 2026-01-04 15:00, Data Source: Jintiao Data)
1. Top Signal Judgment: No clear top signal has appeared, but short-term high-level oscillation risk is increasing
- Price Trend: The current price is in the high point range of the past 7 days, not breaking below the key support level (0.0000012 USDT), but has experienced three consecutive days of rapid rise and fall, forming a small double-top pattern.
- Volume Characteristics: Recent two days of rise accompanied by decreasing volume, with daily trading volume down 32% from the peak on January 1, indicating we

BTC (as of 2026-01-04 10:00): No clear top; volume contraction and upward movement; bearish factors slightly outweigh, with bulls and bears intertwined.
1. Technical Analysis: No clear top, beware of weekly hidden risks
- Key levels: support at $85,000-$88,000 (20-month EMA around $88,000); resistance at $93,000 and psychological $100,000.
- Weekly chart: beware of potential death cross below the 50-week MA, often a signal of the end of a bull market; monthly chart remains in an upward structure, with potential to challenge $100,000 if it stabilizes above $88,000.
- Indicators: RSI not overbou

#PEPE Tonight, PEPE is expected to remain volatile in the short term, with intra-day rebounds but the hourly chart showing signs of a pullback. The daily chart still leans bearish, so the overall strategy should focus on shorting at higher levels.
Core Technical Indicators (as of 2026-01-03 19:00)
- RSI(14): 54.6 on the hourly chart (neutral), 40 on the daily chart (weak); short-term momentum is balanced, and the daily remains in a weak zone.
- MACD: Neutral on the hourly, bearish on the daily, no clear reversal signals observed.
- Moving Averages: Price is above the 50/200 EMA on the hourly c

#PEPE This afternoon, PEPE is in a short-term topping window. The risk of a pullback within 1-4 hours is very high, but it is not an absolute top. Confirmation of a trend reversal requires considering trading volume and key levels.

1. Core Technical Signals (as of 17:30 on January 3)

- RSI: 4-hour/daily around 72-75, entering overbought territory, with a short-term pullback probability >70%.
- Stochastic: %K≈88, %D≈80, extremely overbought, usually accompanied by a rapid decline.
- Bollinger Bands: Price breaking above the upper band, deviation is high, indicating "overbought and must pul

#PEPE As of 2026-01-03 12:30, PEPE 1-hour/4-hour charts have shown signs of topping out, with a high risk of decline in the afternoon; daily chart still has a small probability of pushing higher, need to monitor key levels and volume confirmation.
1. Technical Analysis (Core Indicators)
- RSI(14, 4-hour): approximately 72.21, entering overbought territory, short-term correction likely.
- MACD(4-hour): bullish momentum weakening, about to form a death cross, divergence with price increase.
- Bollinger Bands(1-hour): price touching upper band and then pulling back, indicating overbought reversal

The overall cryptocurrency market in January 2026 remains neutral with a slight bearish bias. The first half of the month is characterized by deleveraging, low liquidity, and tax harvesting, ending with these themes. In the second half, attention shifts to CPI data and regulatory catalysts, which may trigger a weak rebound but are unlikely to break the range-bound oscillation. The key support level is at $87,000, along with ETF fund inflows. Without a volume breakout, the market is expected to continue its weakness.
Core Signals (as of 2026-01-03 11:20 UTC+8)
- Price and Sentiment: BTC around

As of 9:00 on January 3, 2026, PEPE's short-term rebound has approached a tentative top. It is recommended to reduce positions or short on rallies, with strict risk control.
Core Judgment (2026-01-03)
- Price: Currently at **$0.0000059**, up 27.98% in 24H, up 47.31% in 7D, trading volume has increased but is close to previous highs and dense resistance zones.
- Technical:
- Resistance levels: $0.00000621 (strong intra-day resistance), $0.00000732, $0.00000744; a sustained rally likely requires breaking above $0.00001.
- Support levels: $0.0000047 (24H low), $0.000005 (psychological threshold).

#PUMP As of 12:00 on January 2, 2026 (UTC+8), the PUMP short-term rebound window is 1-3 trading days, with a medium-term mainly characterized by oscillation and a long-term outlook dependent on platform fundamentals and sentiment recovery in the Memecoin sector; core conclusion: no strong reversal drivers, after the rebound, it returns to weakness.
1. Short-term trend (1-7 days)
- Baseline scenario (probability 60%): Rebound to $0.002200 resistance encounters resistance, and within 1-3 days, it falls back to the $0.001909-$0.0020 range for oscillation, triggering an alert to turn bearish.
- Op

The fluctuations in the crypto market do not follow an absolute pattern, but influenced by capital flows, news sentiment, and trading time zones, there are obvious probabilistic characteristics. The following are structured time period patterns (ranked by trading activity):
1. Easy to Rise Periods
a. US East Coast Morning Session (Beijing Time 20:30 - 02:00 next day)
When US stocks open and main capital (American institutions, market makers) are active, if US stocks perform well or positive news for crypto (ETF capital inflows, policy easing) is released, it can easily drive BTC and popular al

As of December 31, 2025 (based on Jintou Data and market synchronized signals), the short-term outlook for the crypto market is bearish, with a neutral medium-term stance awaiting policy and liquidity turning points. High-risk speculative altcoins are particularly affected.
1. Core Bearish Signals (Jintou Data Anchor)
1. Hawkish Fed suppresses rate cut expectations: Board member Harker (with voting rights in 2026) explicitly states that interest rates will remain at least until next spring, with the probability of a rate cut in January dropping sharply to about 15%, and high funding costs supp

As of 2025-12-30 19:00 (around New Year's Day 12.30-1.5), the probability of TRUMP plummeting is approximately 70%, and PUMP about 75%; both are high-volatility Meme/low-utility tokens. Coupled with year-end liquidity exhaustion, selling pressure, and regulatory risks, sudden drops of 15%-30% in a single day are likely.
1. Probability of Crash and Core Basis (Golden Ten Criteria + On-Chain Data)
- TRUMP (≈70%):
1. Narrative overextension + no fundamentals, dropped 94% from peak, only residual hype from celebrity promotion, no sustained buying.
2. Liquidity contraction: 24h volume around $5 mil

As of 13:00 on December 30 (UTC+8), the crypto market is short-term bearish, with medium-term mixed bullish and bearish signals leaning towards consolidation; low liquidity amplifies volatility, making trend breakthroughs difficult to form.
Quick Overview of Key Conclusions
- Short-term (1–3 trading days): Predominantly bearish. Price oscillations are weak, sentiment is extremely fearful, institutional ETF fund outflows are ongoing, and low liquidity makes large orders more disruptive.
- Medium-term (1–2 weeks): Bull-bear contest. Regulatory compliance provides long-term support, but macroecon

Altcoin prices are highly dependent on Bitcoin's movements, primarily due to Bitcoin's market anchoring position and the unidirectional flow of funds in the crypto market.
1. Fund Pool Linkage Effect: Bitcoin accounts for more than half of the total market capitalization of the crypto market, making it the primary target for off-market funds entering. When Bitcoin rises and attracts incremental funds, excess capital flows into altcoins; when Bitcoin falls, investors sell off altcoins to buy back Bitcoin or stablecoins for risk aversion, forming the pattern of “Bitcoin leads the rally, altcoins

#OM As of December 30, 2025, OM (MANTRA) technicals are short-term oscillating, with a clear bearish outlook medium to long-term. Core indicators resonate with a bearish signal, making short-term rebounds unlikely to reverse the downward trend.
Core Indicator Overview (Daily K, Price ≈ $0.07)
| Indicator | Value/Status | Signal | Key Impact |
|--------------------|----------------------------------------------|-----------------|---------------------------------------------------------|
| Moving Averag

#PUMP As of December 30, 2025, recent major negative news for PUMP (Pump.fun) has focused on large whale sell-offs, escalating regulatory lawsuits, and deteriorating fundamentals. Below is a structured summary of key information:
🚨 Core Negative News (December Update)
1. Whale Liquidation Sell-off (December 23): Whale wallet 3QB9kH transferred 3.8 billion PUMP (cost approximately $19.53 million, average price $0.00513) to FalconX for liquidation, realizing about $7.3 million, with a loss exceeding $12 million (about 62%), triggering market panic selling, with prices rapidly dropping and appro