Ruiling

January 01, 2026 BTC Contract Key Technical Levels
Happy New Year! Wishing everyone good health and prosperity in the new year!!!
The current market is retreating into a key wide-range oscillation zone of multi-cycle resonance. Abandon all predictions, focus on the most certain action of “high sell at the upper boundary of the range and low buy at the lower boundary,” pursuing long-term probability advantages with minimal risk.
Bull-Bear Threshold: 88,000 USDT (psychological level, but not a core opening position)
Upper Resistance Levels (upper boundary of the range, shorting zone):
P3: 92,400

The Silent Transition of Bull and Bear: In 2026, the market is experiencing an unseen "handover"!
When Bitcoin's weekly chart is firmly suppressed by all moving averages, when the narrative of "crypto winter" begins to spread, and every rebound appears weak, a sharp question confronts all investors: Are we at the beginning of a long-term decline?
The answer is, both yes and no.
If we only focus on price K-lines, the answer is undoubtedly yes. However, if we look beyond the price, at on-chain token flows, institutional capital movements, and the subtle reshaping of regulatory frameworks, we see

Bitmine pledged 74,880 #ETH this morning, demonstrating the institution's continued confidence in staking yields within the Ethereum ecosystem?
This is a $219 million real-money "Institutional Opinion Letter" on Ethereum's future value. While the market is generally overshadowed by short-term volatility, ETF capital outflows, and macroeconomic anxiety, this move acts like a clear trumpet on a silent battlefield, with implications far beyond the surface of "staking for interest."
Drawing from three bull-bear cycles, I will analyze the three layers of meaning behind this dynamic and how it spec

A large holder has accumulated a total of 30,003 AAVE tokens over the past four days, with an average price of $156.65.
This is a textbook example of “left-side trading” and “deep water capital” operation. After the market plummeted due to short-term negative news (brand decentralization proposal causing panic), the big player contrarily invested $4.7 million to buy the dip and calmly accepted significant unrealized losses. This is not bad news; in fact, it’s more valuable than those “buy and rise” headlines.
Drawing from experience across three bull and bear cycles, we analyze the four layers

After a large number of options expire, the market has not yet broken through the "range consolidation" pattern, #BTC retraced to around $87,000 to seek support?
Bitcoin, after a large number of options expiration, continued its range-bound weak oscillation rather than a strong breakout. The current price is testing the lower boundary of a key zone (the critical support level between $86,500 and $85,000), which is a decisive moment for bulls and bears. Resistance above is concentrated around $90,000; if it cannot break through effectively, it may continue to fluctuate within the wide range of

"UNI Value Upgrade" The first stress test on the road, and my interpretation of the test results is: Passed.
As of December 26, according to CoinMarketCap, at the time of writing, UNI (Uniswap) is trading at $5.99, up 3.41% in 24 hours, with a high of $6.44 and a low of $5.26. The current market cap is approximately $3.778 billion, an increase of $124 million from yesterday.
The core contradiction in current UNI price fluctuations: the long-term fundamental leap versus the short-term market liquidity and gaming pattern conflicts. This is precisely the scenario most familiar to seasoned traders

December 26, 2025 BTC Contract Key Level Trading Plan
Core Trading Logic:
The market is in a textbook rectangular consolidation. There is only one high-probability strategy: go long when the price touches the lower boundary of the range (S1), and go short when it touches the upper boundary (P2). Abandon all guesses and operations at intermediate prices. This embodies the principle of “position over direction.”
#BTC行情分析 #今日你看涨还是看跌？
The dividing line between bulls and bears: 88,000 USDT (a psychological level, but not the core of trading. The true dividing line is the range boundary).
Upper res

Why are prices trending downward? Why is the rebound weak? Why are ETFs flowing out? It clearly predicts that by 2026, we will face a battlefield that is entirely different from the past.
#加密市场小幅回暖 #2026行情预测
Every cycle of bull and bear markets is not only a price rotation but also a thorough reshuffle of market-dominant narratives, capital structures, and volatility paradigms. We are at such a historic turning point—the “intergenerational shift” in market-driven logic.
1. Short-term (Christmas period): This is a “liquidity vacuum” for options hunting, not a trend initiation
In late 2018 and

2026 Cycle Potential Altcoin Watchlist
#山寨币 #2026行情预测
The brutal decline in 2025 essentially represents a thorough redistribution of liquidity and value filtering. Funds are withdrawing from many small coins lacking fundamentals, concentrating in two directions:
1. Core assets represented by Bitcoin and Ethereum, which have gained institutional ETF recognition.
2. A select few altcoins with practical use cases, strong fundamentals, or clear regulatory prospects.
“Technical Signal: Analyst Michaël van de Poppe points out that the appearance of a ‘big candle with long shadow’ on the price chart

December 25, 2025 08:00 Key Point Trading Plan (BTC Contract Levels)
At everyone's request, the contract levels are now published (for spot layout, please see the previous content).
As a trader committed to “profit and loss originate from the same source,” I have built a purely chart-based mechanical trading system for you. The current price is in the middle of a key oscillation zone characterized by “strong resistance above and support below.” The following plan will focus on “range high selling and low buying” opportunities with a deterministic approach, ensuring a long-term probability ad

Geopolitical Central Asia Corridor (Japan - 20 billion prying open Russia's backyard) with macro data tonight at 21:30 (US Non-farm Payrolls (NFP))
1. Practical Analysis of Two Major Signals: Stories and Traps
On the long-term narrative of the "Japan-Central Asia Corridor":
This is indeed an excellent use case for stablecoins and crypto payments in the "de-SWIFTing" and enhancing cross-border efficiency, representing a long-term bullish option that may continue to ferment in the next 6-12 months. However, for now, it is just a wonderful long-term story, and "distant water" cannot quench "

Deciphering the post-decision Saturday night ambush: The market has made its choice, and the script has entered a "neutral leaning hawkish" oscillation and correction phase.
The market has chosen to vote with its feet after the decision. BTC, ETH, and SOL all closed lower, especially ETH failed to hold the upper boundary of the previously discussed "firecracker pattern" and instead fell back into a key range. This is not the start of a bull market, but a collective liquidation of "hawkish rate cuts" and overly optimistic sentiment.
Combined with technical indicators, my strategy will shift fro

Last night (December 10), the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting results were announced. Overall, this was a "hawkish rate cut" that aligned with market expectations but involved significant internal disagreement. Here are the key points summarized for you.
Meeting Highlights
(1) Interest Rate Decision:
A 25 basis point cut, lowering the federal funds target range to 3.50%-3.75%. This is the third consecutive rate cut since September this year, with a total reduction of 75 basis points.
(2) Dot Plot Indications:
The latest dot plot shows that the median forecast for the end-of-2026 inte

"Whales Return to the Battlefield After Eight Years of Silence: The Macro Chess Game and Wind Direction Password Behind $267 Million ETH Long Orders" - The movement of whales is one of the most important on-chain passwords in the market, which is worth cross-verifying under the macro framework.
My credo is: trust the signals, but never take all the risks. The position of a giant whale is an important weather vane, but it is by no means our entire combat map. My strategy must combine his behavior, tonight's macro ruling, and the structure of the market itself.
Core judgment: The logic of the wh

At this position (BTC fluctuates at a high weekly level), tonight's Fed decision is the key that will determine the life and death of the market in the next three months.
1. Resolution scenario deduction and core logic
Dovish Exceed Expectations (A) Probability: 20%
Trigger conditions: The dot plot clearly shows that there will be more than 3 rate cuts in 2024 (e.g., to 4), and Powell acknowledged at the press conference that inflation progress is "solid", downplaying recent data disturbances.
Market reaction: The U.S. dollar index dived and U.S. Treasury yields plummeted. The crypto market wi

The structure of the current crypto assets market has undergone substantial changes compared to the early days. It is no longer a "wild west" dominated by retail investors and idealists, but has evolved into a complex ecosystem deeply integrated with global capital games, technological revolutions, and regulatory implementations.