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U.S. stock markets are closed, and overall market liquidity has significantly contracted. This is a typical characteristic of holiday trading, with prices mainly oscillating within a range and weak trend continuity. The XRP trading idea provided in the morning is based on a strategy of "low liquidity + range trading," not betting on a breakout, but rather taking advantage of the move that is happening.
From the current trend, the price has basically moved within the expected range, with the highs and lows realized very precisely. Those who followed the rhythm have already taken profits, and wh
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BTC|12.26 Midday Market Analysis
As of midday, BTC is at 88,799.9. The intraday price initially surged to 89,432 but faced resistance and pulled back, then dipped to 86,824 to find strong support and quickly rebounded. Overall, the structure shows a sharp rally followed by high-level oscillation correction, a typical strong retracement digestion phase.
Technical Structure and Key Levels:
Short-term core support: 88,500–88,700
If effectively broken downward, the price is likely to retest the strong support around 88,000, at which point attention should be paid to the bulls' defensive strength.
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This afternoon at 16:00, the largest options settlement window in history will open. The nominal settlement scale of BTC options this time exceeds $20 billion, making it a typical event-level variable capable of changing short-term price structures.
The current Max Pain level for BTC is around 95,000. Based on the current price, pushing the price directly to that level would require an extremely large amount of spot and derivatives capital working in concert, which is not easy.
The overall open interest in call options is clearly dominant. Under this structure, even if the price cannot fully r
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The market is always fair.
Those who can't finish the analysis will never understand profitability.
Only those with strong execution can deserve the words "eat meat."
Are you profitable?
Pre-market structure, entry and exit logic, risk control positions—have you truly spent time fully understanding and executing your trading ideas, or are you just skimming through?
If you only get halfway through and then scroll away, thinking the analysis is "too long, too slow," then what you're chasing is never the market rhythm, but emotional fluctuations. And emotions will never lead you to stable profits
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XRP structural market is approaching a critical point.
The current price continues to rise, approaching a key structural resistance level. Multiple re-tests have not broken the level, indicating that the main force has not chosen to distribute, but is compressing volatility and accumulating strength for a breakout. Once a valid breakout is established, it will directly open a new price range above, and the short-term upward potential will be fully activated.
From the market details:
The lows during the pullback phase are gradually rising, and the core support remains solid;
During the decline,
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SunFuturevip:
Continue to buy and hold long-term; someday it will reach x10, x20.
Last night, the idea was realized!!!!
At the moment the price warning was triggered, the order book gave a clear answer.
BTC short positions were executed as planned, successfully capturing over 1000+ points of profit during the range fluctuation, with partial profit-taking already completed, core profits secured, and risk exposure significantly reduced.
The current position has entered a "zero cost + profit protection" state, switching to a low-risk betting mode:
Near key structural levels, follow the trend to catch retracements and rebounds, with room for both long and short participation.
R
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In the afternoon, BTC remains within the narrow range of 87,000–88,500, with trading volume continuing to shrink compared to the morning. Under the Christmas holiday background, liquidity is clearly insufficient, and the market lacks trend-driving momentum.
In the short-term structure, the support at around 87,000 has been repeatedly validated as effective, while selling pressure above 88,500 is concentrated. The bulls' willingness to push higher is limited, and overall, the market remains in a low-volatility tug-of-war between bulls and bears.
Luhang|Thursday evening outlook:
BTC: Pay at
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ETH1,44%
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Even with a small principal, you can trade steadily. Rules + rhythm will teach you how to achieve long-term stable profits. If you're willing to follow through, click me.
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Today, if it can smoothly break below 86,600, the decline will become more seamless, and the levels at 84,000 and 82,000 will come quickly. On the surface, it looks like a day of sideways consolidation, but in reality, sellers have been continuously offloading, and looking at the fund flow history makes it very clear. This kind of sideways situation usually doesn't last very long. Even if the main force of BTC enters, it will only be a temporary boost before it drops again.
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Speculative trading is as old as the mountains. What happens in the market today has happened before, and will happen again in the future. Wall Street has no new tricks because human nature has never changed.
I am often asked, with only one or two thousand U in capital, is there any meaning in entering the crypto space?
My answer has always been that the smaller the capital, the easier it is to take the right path.
Recently, a student had only 1500U in his account, but his emotions were more volatile than the market. He was eager to double his money and wanted quick gains. I told him to slow d
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12.25 SOL Market Analysis
Structurally, SOL is still in a consolidation phase with a slight weakness, and no substantial trend reversal has occurred.
Multiple rebounds on the 4-hour timeframe have been met with resistance at the upper pressure zone and pushed back down, indicating persistent selling pressure in this area and a lack of strong bullish continuation.
Technical analysis of the moving average system is as follows: the 4H MA30 / MA60 are in a bearish alignment. The price has repeatedly attempted to rise to the upper band of the moving averages but was blocked, which is a typical re
SOL1,63%
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Recently, the performance of Worldcoin (WLD) has been somewhat dull, but institutional actions are quite interesting.
According to on-chain information, Multicoin Capital has aggressively accumulated around 55 million to 62 million WLD through OTC agreements. This transaction seems casual, but the timing is quite deliberate: it coincides with WLD's roughly 20% correction over the past month.
From the market sentiment, it’s indeed cooling off quickly. Since September, the number of active on-chain wallets has been declining, and the discussion heat and search index have also been decreasing. Co
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BTC's current 4-hour chart pattern remains in an ascending wedge. After the first pullback and consolidation, it is likely to rebound upward again, with the target around 8.9w. According to the three-wave decline theory, there will be a B-wave rebound, so in the short term, if a rebound occurs, I consider entering a short position at this level, with the target still around 8.5w, and a stop loss at 9w.
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$BTC $ETH Looking back to the early morning, Bitcoin rebounded from around 86,780 to 87,684, while Ethereum synchronized with Bitcoin's rhythm, rebounding from around 2,920 to approximately 2,960.
Currently, the market is in a technical correction phase after a decline. On the four-hour chart, after a rapid decline, a clear sign of stabilization has formed at the low levels, with continuous recovery of the candlesticks. The price has returned to near the short-term moving averages for consolidation. However, the medium-term moving averages above still show a downward pressure, indicating that
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The era of USD breaking 7 against RMB is about to begin, indicating that the US dollar has entered a weak cycle. Subsequently, the overall trend of the US Dollar Index is also weakening. The reason why the decline is not yet obvious is because the USD currency is also depreciating, for example, the Japanese Yen exchange rate has been heading towards 160.
Generally speaking, when the US dollar is in a weak cycle, risk markets tend to rise. Although this year’s crypto market, led by Bitcoin, has performed poorly, who knows if this is just the calm before the storm?
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December 25 BNB Technical Analysis
From the 4-hour timeframe, BNB previously maintained a continuous oscillating upward trend across multiple cycles, and the short-term rebound has largely been exhausted. After reaching the key resistance zone around 880–890, the price was clearly blocked, failing to stabilize after multiple attempts to push higher. Currently, the candlestick structure has shifted to a weak oscillation, indicating that selling pressure in this area is gradually emerging.
Looking at the 1-hour timeframe, the KDJ indicator has formed a clear high-level downward divergence patter
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Market Structure Update: US Stocks vs. Crypto
Looking at last night's US stock performance, the daily chart continues to trend slightly upward, forming a V-shaped recovery structure, which aligns with my previous judgment.
However, when reviewing BTC's weekly daily chart, it is clearly sideways and does not follow the US stock rebound. There is already a divergence where prices are falling but not rising, indicating that the current market momentum for upward movement is weakening.
This point is crucial. If US stocks pull back in the coming days, the crypto market could accelerate downward. Th
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ETH1,44%
SOL1,63%
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December 25, 2025 | BTC Contract Key Level Plan
I only do one thing: in the certainty zone, use discipline to exchange for probability.
Current daily structure: MA21 (≈93,800) resistance, rebound with high-level oscillation. 4H: 86,200 – 90,450 standard rectangle oscillation. 1H: middle of the range, no direction → no trading.
The core idea is to only trade the upper and lower boundaries of the range, with all middle positions observing.
Key levels for short positions (upper boundary of the range): 90,450 (core short point), 89,600, 88,800 (secondary resistance).
For long positions (lower boun
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