GateUser-96e9cb0a

Trump's just a few words, and the US stock market drops again.
The Nasdaq 100 index falls 1.3%.
The so-called safe-haven asset, gold, also plummets.

Yesterday, no ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz.
This strait carries 20% of the world's crude oil and 17% of LNG.
Last week, Brent crude oil prices surged nearly 60% in a single month, possibly the largest monthly increase in history.
But that's not the most dangerous part; JPMorgan Chase wrote in a report: if Saudi Arabia's alternative export route, the Yanbu port, is damaged, oil prices could rise another $20 per barrel.
Most people are focused on how much crude oil has increased, seemingly unaware of what JPMorgan Chase is warning about.
In the same week, Chevron's LNG fac

Just landed and feeling drowsy from jet lag.
The pile of stagnation period drafts I read yesterday is now all a muddled mess in my mind.
It's good that the market is closed over the weekend, so I don't have to worry about the underwater SPY short positions bothering me.
Going out for a walk, what macro traders need most is time away from the screen.

The stagnation trend near the all-time high of the S&P 500 has historically been associated with the prelude to a liquidity withdrawal; the inversion recovery of long-term U.S. Treasury yields is slower than expected.
Last week, based on a cyclical model, the SPY short position and TLT long position we built are still underwater, and it’s once again a test of patience and discipline.
Cycles never skip a beat, only sometimes arrive late; retail investors tend to do linear extrapolation, while we often have to endure temporary headwinds and self-doubt on the left side.
Just finished readin

$SIREN is going up again.
This candlestick chart is literally drawn by the whales themselves, they can draw it however they want.

I used to think whales were just harvesters, but in the face of leverage, whether you're trading commodities, crypto, or futures, they're actually the most advanced "fuel."
Especially with CFD, this high-leverage derivative product—a single Brent crude long position got liquidated for over $4.4 million directly. CFD doesn't even require you to touch a barrel of oil, yet you still have to pay funding fees overnight, and one word from Trump could wipe you out.
When you stack heavy positions on extremely volatile assets, you think you're betting on trends, but in essence, you're fighting liquidit

Is this real?
If it is, then I have to acknowledge CZ's fighting ability
It's just tough for the on-chain brothers, without the big sister around, BSC running to 200k is already considered a major pump😂

The lobster reached alpha and didn't fall down.
Is this time different???

The recent escalation of tensions between the US and Iran has caused the US dollar to rise for two consecutive days, marking the largest two-day gain in nearly a year.
A strong dollar = risk assets come under pressure.
Historically, during the initial stages of geopolitical conflicts, funds tend to flow into the US dollar for safe-haven purposes, and $BTC often experiences a short-term pullback.
However, it is worth noting that this safe-haven sentiment is almost always fleeting. Once the market digests the war premium, some funds will start to seek out inflation-hedging assets.
And a

What did you all buy for the Spring Festival Gala? Put some big money in too.
Don't earn all your money on the first day of the new year.
Just start the year and go straight to work off.

I'm now filled with regret, really, truly deep regret. A heartfelt monologue: if I had known earlier, I wouldn't have taken out a loan to go all-in. I'm really an idiot. I will never mess with these things again. I'll be working and paying off debt for the next 20 years. Cut my losses, brothers. It's all over. It won't rise again. This time is different from before. Look around—exchanges are shifting to US stocks and precious metals, just fighting for survival and paying employees. I've already lost everything—my spirit, my health, everything. I've lost interest in all things, like a dead dog.

Feitian Maotai just took off halfway and is probably going to be pulled down🤣

Now, the grandma who buys gold has won, the dad who invests in stocks has won, the mom who likes buying silver has won, even the younger brother who loves playing on the computer has won—all except you, because you play in the crypto circle.