金米灵灵专注ETH

260408行情分析
经过一整晚的剧烈洗盘和随后的强力拉升，受地缘政治消息反转驱动，价格在日内深跌后强力突破了关键压力位，直接站上72, 000关口。这场由地缘政治消息反转点燃的行情，正在改变市场的短期叙事逻辑。
最亮眼的数据来自 ETF 市场，单日净流入高达4.71 亿美元，是自2月底以来最强的日流入，也是2026年以来的第六大单日流入量。另外，本次拉升的买盘力量也值得关注，主要交易所和市场做市商迅速响应——Binance 买入约29, 344枚，Coinbase 买入约 20, 756校…·而空头爆仓4亿美元，它的回补也成为价格急升的重要推动力。
以上说了那么多，虽然有政治环境各类影响，但我想从技术面的角度用最简单的方式做个总结：无非就是震荡行情，在趋势未明朗之前，高抛低吸的操作为妙。做个没有感情的机器人。见下图。

260407行情分析
大饼在經歷週末的強勢上攻後，當前進入高位盤整階段，多空雙方在前期提到的70, 000 關口展開激烈博弈。自2026年2月以來，每次價格逼近 70, 000 至80, 000 美元區間，都會面臨流動性不足和獲利回吐壓力，從而限制反彈空間。我們也多次做過高位的空頭訂單，那麼這一次同樣提示：短線追高風險不容忽視。
下方支撐方面，68, 000 美元是日內首要支撐，也是近期多次回踩的有效區域；若跌破此位，將考驗67, 300 美元，更下方則指向66, 000 美元。
4小時圖表上，跌勢已在66,000美元支撐位上方停滯，該加密貨幣目前在66, 000 美元支撐上方和移動平均線下方反彈，或持續在70, 000 美元阻力下方震盪。
做多策略：關注 68, 000 至68, 300區間的企穩機會，該位置是近期多次回踩的有效支撐區。這種半途多單最好快進快出。
做空策略：若價格觸及 70, 200 至 70, 500 區間受阻且出現縮量信號，可考慮參與空單，目標首看69, 000，次看68, 200。若價格跌破68, 000，再看 67, 300···
二饼關鍵支撐價格看2080，跌破看 2020。而做多建議在2020左
右。

每日分享 260402
昨日大餅如分析預期，上演了一出震盪+假突破行情——盤面一度衝高至69,300，讓不少人以為要衝擊7萬關口，隨後卻一路陰跌至68,000。這種走勢最折磨人，漲不上去跌不下來，短線交易者被反覆打臉。
儘管現貨ETF在3月錄得約13億美元的淨流入、Strategy 繼續增持至76.2萬枚新高，但這些動作並沒有推高大餅價格，買盤仍被更大的拋售力量完全抵消。
關鍵支撐位：67,000是日內最關鍵的防禦水位。若收盤價連續跌破此位，可能會下探至66,000的心理關口。
關鍵壓力位：短期強壓力位在69,500附近。若能站穩此位，短期內有望挑戰72,000。
綜合來說，目前空頭稍佔優勢，當前空頭倉位已部分釋放，但上方阻力依然明確，做空需等待反彈衰竭信號。如果能等待反彈至68,500至69,000區域受阻後再行介入為好。而做多者可等待價格在67,000--67,500區域企穩後輕倉試探，博弈超跌反彈，快進快出。

Eight consecutive days of gains were wiped out 50% in two days, proving our previous analysis was correct. From a technical structure perspective, the large-cycle bearish pattern has currently taken control of the market. At the daily level, a clear evening star pattern formed near 75,000 USD, followed by consecutive down days and pullbacks. The price has now broken below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands and the middle line of the rebound channel. The momentum indicator has fallen from its highs, signaling the exhaustion of bullish momentum. Price is firmly suppressed below the middle ba

Yesterday's FOMC interest rate decision meeting proceeded as scheduled. We precisely captured the short opportunities near 74,400-74,800 that we clearly indicated before the meeting. Particularly, the ETH entry short signal we provided at 19:28 last night resulted in a sharp decline within minutes. Friends following our strategy have once again harvested thousands of points in profits. Our recent consecutive precise analyses—from eight consecutive bullish candles rebound to high consolidation, from support level pullback to resistance zone rejection—have all withstood market verification. I re

Economic Half Hour 260318
Last week's market showed clear signs of gradual recovery, with spot buying pressure rebounding, continuous ETF capital inflows, and slightly improved investor profitability. However, on-chain trading activity remained sluggish, and futures market positioning remained cautious, indicating confidence has not fully recovered. Following eight consecutive bullish days of strong rebound, Bitcoin is now standing at a critical decision point under the large-cycle bearish structure—the results of today's early morning Fed FOMC interest rate decision will directly determine wh