Fed's FOMC Statement Expected to Show Two-Sided Rate Risk, With Plan to Drop 2026 Rate-Cut Guidance

According to John Velis from Bank of New York Mellon, on June 17 the Federal Reserve's FOMC statement is expected to clearly indicate two-sided risks to short-term interest rates, consistent with three dissenting votes from the April meeting. An updated economic forecast summary (SEP) will be released. Velis expects the median forecast for end-2026 to remove the single rate-cut expectation previously held across multiple cycles.
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