WTI Crude Probability to Break $95 Falls to 53% on Polymarket, Down 16% in 24 Hours

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According to Polymarket prediction data monitored by PPP, the probability of WTI crude oil breaking through $95 per barrel in July fell to 53% in the past 24 hours, down 16%; the probability of surpassing $100 per barrel declined to 27%, down 13%. Market participants cite ongoing disruptions in Red Sea energy transit routes and escalating Middle East tensions as drivers of oil price volatility, with prices maintaining a 10% weekly gain as supply pressures continue.
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