The Federal Reserve has a 96% probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged in March.

U.S. Treasury yields rise across the board, with market expectations for fewer interest rate cuts

Influenced by Middle East conflicts and inflation concerns, U.S. Treasury yields continue to rise. Initial jobless claims remain at 213,000, and the January import price index growth was below expectations. The market expects non-farm employment to decline, while the futures market anticipates the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates only once by 2026. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to 4.134%.

Oil prices surge, interest rate cut expectations cool down! Circle benefits as the target price breaks $100

U.S. stablecoin giant Circle recently surged nearly 8% in stock price, hitting a four-month high, due to soaring oil prices and a cooling of interest rate cut expectations. Mizuho Securities raised its target price to $100, while maintaining a "Neutral" rating, but became more optimistic about profit prospects. Analysts believe that if the Federal Reserve continues to keep interest rates high, Circle's revenue will benefit accordingly, but market competition and regulatory pressures should still be watched carefully.

Trump promotes cryptocurrency regulatory framework, Bitcoin surges, driving crypto stocks higher across the board

Trump recently expressed support for digital assets, promoting regulatory discussions. Market sentiment has improved, and Bitcoin's price has risen by about 7%, with multiple crypto concept stocks also gaining. Analysts believe that changes in the regulatory environment and ETF capital inflows are driving the rise, but future legislative stagnation or price corrections could impact the performance of crypto stocks.

The battle for stablecoin yields escalates: Eric Trump angrily criticizes banks as "anti-American," and crypto regulation bills stall.

The conflict between US cryptocurrency regulation and traditional banking is intensifying. Eric Trump criticized large banks for blocking stablecoin yields, claiming it is an effort to maintain a "low interest rate monopoly." At the same time, Trump also accused lobbying groups of hindering the progress of crypto legislation. The congressional bill on stablecoins is moving slowly and faces disputes from all sides. If no consensus is reached, it could lead to ongoing regulatory uncertainty for the crypto industry.

Eric Trump: Traditional banks lobby to suppress stablecoins, revealing the low-interest deposit monopoly structure

Eric Trump accuses large banks of using lobbying groups to block stablecoins and crypto platforms from offering high annual yields, calling it systemic exploitation. Stablecoins like Coinbase USDC and MakerDAO DAI offer interest rates higher than traditional banks. The controversial CLARITY Act may restrict interest payments on stablecoins, with crypto supporters arguing that this move protects the interests of traditional banks.

U.S. banking industry strongly opposes Kraken's access to the Federal Reserve, Trump angrily accuses of obstructing crypto agenda

Cryptocurrency exchange Kraken becomes the first company to hold a main account with the U.S. Federal Reserve, allowing direct settlement of USD transactions. However, this has sparked strong opposition from the banking industry, which is concerned about potential threats to financial stability. Stablecoins could lead to a $6.6 trillion outflow of deposits, affecting lending costs. Trump supports the crypto agenda, accusing banks of obstructing legislation, indicating his political stance and vested interests.