Gate News message, April 26 — U.S. Treasury market traders are closely monitoring this week’s Federal Reserve meeting to assess policymakers’ inflation outlook, amid rising oil prices driven by Middle East tensions. The market widely expects the Fed to maintain interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, yet traders increasingly believe a rate cut remains likely before year-end, with swap market data showing the probability of a cut by year-end has risen to around 40%.
Traders will scrutinize Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks at the post-meeting press conference for clues about his plans beyond his term, which ends next May. The week also brings a series of U.S. Treasury auctions to test market demand at current yield levels.
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