As U.S.-Iran tensions ease, asset prices rebound. Some traders have predicted the market with pinpoint accuracy to profit from ceasefire gains, sparking discussion about insider trading. Although there is no evidence yet, frequent cases have challenged market fairness, and regulators have begun to pay attention. Polymarket has also updated its rules to strengthen market integrity. The industry faces a key question of balancing openness with compliance.

Cardano launches the Orion Fund in 2026, releasing 50 million ADA and shifting to an investment-driven expansion strategy. The fund size is $80 million, with the goal of activating Bitcoin liquidity, and the overall ecosystem expansion relies on the DeFi sector. At the same time, Cardano’s on-chain TVL target is $3 billion; stablecoin liquidity and real demand are key challenges.

Gate News, April 4, market pricing shows that bets on the Federal Reserve cutting rates in 2026 have eased.

Gate News message, on April 3, market pricing shows that bets on the Federal Reserve cutting rates in 2026 have eased.

In March 2026, the Nasdaq Crypto Index ETF (NCIQ) under Hashdex officially launched options trading, marking the shift of crypto ETFs from “one-way bets” to “structured investing.” The introduction of options allows investors to manage risk more effectively and design return strategies, offering allocation routes for institutional investors such as pension funds and family offices, driving the rapid expansion of the crypto derivatives market, and in the future, more structured products may emerge.

Wall Street’s pessimism is intensifying, with multiple indicators showing investors are actively betting on a decline in the stock market, as CNN’s Fear and Greed Index drops to a low point. Short positions are rising, pressure in specific industries is significant, and options market hedging signals are prominent. Analysts warn that extreme sentiment could trigger a market reversal, but given the current geopolitical and economic pressures, the market’s future trend remains uncertain.

A CEX CEO, Brian Armstrong, announced the launch of a venture capital program called "Next Bets," which allows employees to submit innovative projects and pitch them, with the goal of reducing creative talent drain. The program opens twice each year, is typically executed by small teams, and focuses on high-potential directions. The Base blockchain project originated from this, and more progress will be announced in the future.

Gate News message. On March 30, market pricing showed that rate-hike bets on the Federal Reserve had been withdrawn, and pricing shifted instead to the possibility of cuts this year. This reflects a change in the market’s expectations for the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy.

According to on-chain data monitoring, on March 30, a certain account bought $170,000 in winnings bets at a price of 83¢ on Polymarket for the Nuggets to beat the Warriors. The Nuggets are currently ranked 4th in the Western Conference, while the Warriors are ranked 10th; the game will be held at 10:00 AM Beijing time today.