# 美联储政策与货币政策

#美联储政策与货币政策 U.S. Treasury volatility has dropped from 99 at the beginning of the year to 59, marking the largest annual decline since the 2009 financial crisis—this data reflects the market’s re-pricing of recession risks. The Federal Reserve’s rate cut cycle has effectively alleviated uncertainty about expectations, and market sentiment in the bond market has noticeably stabilized.
From an on-chain perspective, this macro environment shift typically triggers reallocation of funds. When volatility in traditional financial markets decreases and risk aversion eases, institutions and whales ofte

#美联储政策与货币政策 The changes in the Fed Chair candidate are indeed worth paying attention to! Haskett's probability has dropped from a high level to 44%, while Waugh has risen to 33%. This reflects the market's adjustment in expectations toward different policy orientations.
From a Web3 perspective, this is particularly interesting — the choice of the Fed Chair directly influences the direction of U.S. monetary policy, and whether the policy is easing or tightening often determines the overall environment for crypto assets. A loosening policy environment typically releases liquidity, which is bene

#美联储政策与货币政策 US Treasury volatility has fallen to its lowest level since 2009, which is actually a very interesting signal. The Federal Reserve's rate cuts have effectively alleviated recession risks, and market anxiety has noticeably decreased. What does this mean for the crypto space?
In simple terms, the macro environment has stabilized, and the appeal of risk assets has increased. Historically, whenever bond market volatility drops significantly, it attracts funds seeking higher returns, and this is precisely the window for new project explosions.
Over the past two weeks, I’ve noticed many

The Federal Reserve has come up with new tricks again! 🤔 I just saw the news that the minutes of the December meeting released earlier today show huge disagreements among the decision-makers—some advocate for further rate cuts, some think no action is needed, and a board member, Milan, insists on a 50 basis point cut. It’s like everyone is singing their own tune.
What confused me the most is that among the 19 decision-makers, 6 believe that the interest rate should stay at 3.9% by the end of 2025, which means no rate cuts anymore? But most officials support continuing to cut rates? Who actual

#美联储政策与货币政策 The US dollar plummeted 10% to a 7-year low, and the Federal Reserve has a 96% chance of cutting interest rates next year... This is definitely a signal that Bitcoin is taking off! 🚀
Think about it, loose monetary policy + dollar depreciation = Bitcoin becoming the chosen safe-haven asset. Trump also wants to replace the Federal Reserve Chair and continue to push for rate cuts, which is paving the red carpet for the crypto market.
By 2026, I feel this Bitcoin rally isn't so far off. Those who get in now might already be waking up laughing. Airdrops, meme coins, mainstream coins—a

#美联储政策与货币政策 Seeing the volatility of U.S. Treasuries hit the largest annual decline since 2009, a clear timeline comes to mind. That wave in 2009 was the tail end of the global financial crisis, and the relief was brought about by central banks flooding the markets with liquidity. Now, witnessing a similar decline, the underlying logic is completely different—this time, the Federal Reserve is actively cutting rates, and market concerns about recession risks have been effectively alleviated.
The MOVE index has fallen from 99 at the beginning of the year to 59 now, which essentially reflects a

#美联储政策与货币政策 Seeing the Federal Reserve's December meeting minutes, my first reaction was — this chess game is getting more and more complicated.
Among the 19 policymakers, 6 insist that interest rates should remain at 3.9% by the end of 2025. What does this mean? It suggests that the story of rate cuts might be on hold. The proposal to cut rates by 25 basis points received 3 dissenting votes, indicating significant internal disagreement, to the point that Powell had to come out and say "people hold strongly differing views." This statement actually reflects uncertainty about the policy direct

#美联储政策与货币政策 As we close out 2025, this wave of the market indeed provided many copy traders with some impressive trading account screenshots. The combination of Federal Reserve rate cuts and the AI boom led to a 21% rise in global stock markets, with Asia experiencing three consecutive years of growth—under such an environment, aggressive traders made hefty profits.
But here’s a key risk management logic to highlight: copy trading strategies need to be adjusted according to the market cycle. During periods of rate cuts and easing policies, following aggressive, high-leverage traders can be pr

#美联储政策与货币政策 Recently, things with the Federal Reserve have been a bit chaotic. Trump wants to sue Powell and consider firing him, which directly impacts the independence of the central bank. What does this mean for us crypto enthusiasts? Increased policy uncertainty.
In simple terms, when the Federal Reserve faces political pressure and internal disagreements intensify, market volatility will increase. To attract liquidity, project teams often ramp up airdrops. Over the past few days, I've observed many new projects leveraging market tension to accelerate interaction difficulty and reward set

#美联储政策与货币政策 Seeing the recent surge in precious metals, with gold breaking through $4380 to hit a new all-time high, I actually feel more cautious. I've seen this scene too many times—when safe-haven funds start pouring into traditional assets wildly, it often signals collective anxiety about the future.
Expectations of Fed rate cuts heating up, a weakening dollar, and geopolitical tensions—these factors indeed cause funds to flee risk assets. But the key question is: after these funds exit, where will they ultimately flow? History shows that when risk-free returns decline sharply, institutio