Leek9Leek

2025 Loss of 75%, approximately 1.1 million USD, although it is a fact that has already happened and been painful, it still hurts when this number is presented...
The outlook for 2026 is an atypical bear market, meaning there will still be declines, but the maximum drop might be limited to (4.5-6), and overall it may lean more towards oscillation.
Additionally, the downturn caused by Trump and the possible antics of the Federal Reserve, a full-scale shakeout might not be absent. Waiting with low leverage for opportunities would be better.

It should fall, but it has fallen too much. It's like taking the script for January to March next year and performing it now.
Then what else can we do? Most likely, we’ll just find an excuse to rewind and do it again when it’s about the same.

I originally wanted to wait until after the possible Rebound from mid-November to December before drawing a conclusion.
But considering various situations at the moment, it can be said that this cycle has come to an end.
Looking back over the past four years, the broader cycles have been managed fairly well, but the actual details have performed poorly. It can be stated very frankly that within one cycle, there were two instances of earning eight figures and two instances of losing eight figures. Ultimately, there may be a small profit on paper, but compared to expectations, it amounts to doin

When things are still unclear, let's talk about the recent situation from various aspects.
From a technical perspective, there is a slight trend deterioration. The term "slight" is used instead of "already" because if there is a rebound within a week or two, it can be seen as volatility. This also corresponds to the initial mention of ambiguity, as the price and the market itself do not receive favorable information.
Emotionally, some of the excitement that surged to new highs in the past two weeks has faded, which everyone is probably used to this year. Indicators like the long-short ratio ha

back online, my phone number was previously suspended, but it was just restored today. I will continue chatting when I have time.

To be honest, even though I am currently going long on short-term trades～(10500 and have added about 9 coins ), emotionally I hope it falls a bit more so that the guy who opened the on-chain position gets wrecked.
It's not for any other reason, just because this guy keeps expressing his emotions, making it seem like the rise and fall are all related to him. Is it possible that it’s just a coincidence…(
It's making me emotional too: Even if I lose some money, I want to see you get liquidated.

Additionally, the anticipated time for nonsense after May now seems to be delayed until July.
Mainly due to personal reasons, I originally expected to resign in May, but actually need to wait until July.
Topics like career, personal life, and the like are another story, and we can talk about it when there's an opportunity in the future. As for the market and the crypto space itself, we maintain the previous two judgments.

May has ended, let's stretch a bit.
The new highs were reached in the past two weeks, but they are limited compared to previous peaks. From a technical perspective, it won't immediately turn sharply downwards, but the relentless sentiment is no longer present.
From a macro perspective, Trump plans to do harm again. However, the popularity of the term TACO itself indicates that the price sensitivity to Trump is weakening. Note that weakening does not mean absence; it simply means that the price will not fluctuate more than 10% just because he acts erratically.
Looking at the US stock market fro

A month ago, if someone said that BTC could surge back to 100k from 75k, everyone would probably think it was a joke.
But let's go back a bit. Three months ago, if someone said that BTC would surge to 110k and then pull back to 75k, many people would probably have said it was nonsense, especially since Trump coming into power was good for BTC.
So there is a very critical top-level judgment here, whether this year is a trend market, entering a bull market, just a pullback; or because Trump is going crazy, is it a volatile market that will be hit from both sides? ( Here, we do not consider it a

It is expected that there will be a significant recovery of leisure and daily banter after May.
Currently, all positions are in a hedging state, and 60% of the funds have been moved out of the stock market and diversified into stocks and a little gold.
The main reason is not bearishness, but rather uncertainty; also, due to the lack of free time to engage in short-term trading, I will just leave it like this for now.

Record that, the post-00 generation Liang Xi made 20 million RMB by shorting in 2021, and then made 40 million dollars in short-term in 2025 after losing all the money.
There are two very interesting points
It is said that he shorting traded 43 times in a row with profits, even if the winning rate each time is 95%, the probability of winning 43 times in a row is only 11%. This means that he indeed has a high winning rate in specific market conditions, or there may be relatively certain rules under specific market conditions
Pay attention to the key words, just "may be possible". The probabilit

Just talk about the recent market trends.
In one sentence, it's hard to distinguish between oscillation and trend.
At the beginning, when it dropped from 98k to 90k, it was seen as a shake and still long.
I was afraid to further short when it dropped to 84k, fearing that I would be liquidated by adding more positions. However, I later found that there was no continuous drop without any liquidation. I shorted from 85k by following the trend.
Then it fell to 78k, but it returned to 84k overnight, and violently surged back to 95k on Sunday, hitting the stop loss directly. The view has changed bac

What I admire most about this round is the position of the contract and the bulldozer-like decline.
After each round of partial needle insertion, the position will decrease, and then rise again
And after each round of increase in position, it will bring about the next round of partial decline.
It's like there are so many leek money in the field that you can't lose it, and there are so many power coins that you can't smash it, it's a match made in heaven...

It ends here, already finished Hedging, holding Long Position
Logically, the time from the closing of the US stock market today to tomorrow morning can continue to be inserted, but not bet.

The price is falling again, the long-short ratio does not move, and the Position does not change...
Leeks are bound to get hurt, but the longer they hold on, the greater the probability that I, who could have watched without injury, will be hit in the face with blood.
Admit defeat, Azu, remember that old saying
Early surrender is only half lost
[流泪][流泪][流泪]

Accompanied a group of suckers and got 88k from 96k
At 94k, 92k, 90k, 88k, it was surprising to find that the contract open interest did not decrease much after the price fell, and the long/short ratio instead reversed and rose.
It's like saying most suckers haven't died, and there are still people coming in to long and trying to buy the bottom.
In terms of technology and high level, the drop here has long been in place, 90k is already in place.
But the long/short ratio of suckers scared me. Let's hedge out and watch for the night.
The rebound still needs to rebound. Hedging out may even miss

Recently, I have been busy with a series of trivial matters such as transitioning from handling compensation from ftx to work, so I don't have much time to chat.
The judgment has not changed, at least half a year of turbulence upwards, now shaking.