Gate News消息，3月26日，据路透社最新調查顯示，預計美國PCE（個人消費支出價格指數）通脹率在2026年第二季度的平均值為3.3%，第三季度平均值為3.1%，第四季度平均值為2.9%。

The Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates at 3.5%-3.75% on March 18, with the market focusing on Powell's statements regarding inflation and future policy. Rising core PCE and oil price pressures limit rate-cutting room, with only a 30% probability of rate cuts expected this year. Political factors affecting Powell's tenure have sparked notable market reactions, which will impact risk assets and cryptocurrency prices.

Middle East tensions escalate as US military takes action against Iranian energy facilities; Iran warns of retaliation. Hormuz Strait traffic declines, shipping risks rise, and aluminum supply chains tighten. US 2022 GDP revised down to 0.7%, PCE holds at 3.1%, and labor market remains resilient. In crypto markets, BTC returns to key level of $71,300.

Gate News reports that on March 13, the US financial website investinglive stated that the latest report shows core PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, the inflation indicator closely monitored by the Federal Reserve) has recorded a month-over-month increase of 0.4% for two consecutive months. Overall data is basically in line with expectations. If similar data continues for several more months, the inflation rate will quickly approach 2%, and these data will still be counted in year-over-year calculations over the next 10 months. Additionally, energy price shocks are also coming.

今日加密货币市場面臨重要期權到期與PCE通膨數據發布，市場情緒謹慎。比特幣和以太坊期權將到期，交易員預計比特幣維持高位震盪，Ethereum 支撐關注在2100美元區間。美國宏觀經濟政策與能源市場波動同樣影響市場情緒。

Gate News 消息，3 月 10 日，2 月非農數據顯示就業表現弱於預期，與市場普遍預期的韌性強形成明顯反差。但市場降息預期未因此出現明顯調整，利率市場數據顯示，下次降息仍大概率出現在下半年。本週，CPI 和 PCE 數據都將先後公布，在臨近下週美聯儲決議的背景下，通脹數據能否重現降溫信號與就業形成共振將是市場關注的焦點。分析認為，能源反彈可能阻礙通脹降溫，數據難以撼動美聯儲觀望立場。

本週將公布美國2月CPI和失業人數數據，及1月PCE物價指數，同時美以軍事行動可能影響霍爾木茲海峽石油運輸。主要期限隱含波動率顯著上升，BTC短期IV達65%以上，ETH短期IV達80%以上，skew指標下降。

美國經濟面臨高通脹和高利率的挑戰，預計2025年GDP增速不及預期，核心PCE刷新增幅，利率市場放棄降息預期。美聯儲官員釋放鷹派信號，預計市場短期波動將由數據和政策預期主導。

ChainCatcher 消息，據金十報導，美聯儲博斯蒂克表示，最新的 PCE 數據距離 2% 的目標相差甚遠。

ChainCatcher 消息，据金十报道，北京時間 21:30，美國將揭曉 12 月 PCE 物價指數及四季度實際 GDP 年化季率等重磅數據。市場普遍預計通脹將溫和回升，經濟保持韌性，這一組合可能對美聯儲的降息前景產生影響，並增強按兵不動的論調。屆時需警惕行情波動。