#比特币价格预测 Seeing the latest forecast data, the probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 this year has dropped to 8-10%, and it has declined quite a bit in the past couple of days. What I want to say is that this just reminds us of an important point — for any asset price prediction, even the most authoritative data is just a game of probabilities, not certainty.

I have seen too many investors heavily bet on a certain price target and end up caught off guard when the market turns. Predictions themselves are not the problem; the issue is how we use them. If we treat predictions as the sole basis for investment decisions, we are likely to fall into a passive position. The truly prudent approach is to understand this information but not be hostage to it, and to maintain discipline in managing your positions.

Whether Bitcoin can once again reach $95,000 or fall below $80,000, the most important thing is whether your position size is within your risk tolerance. In the long run, the reasonableness of asset allocation and emotional stability often matter more than accurately predicting a specific price point. Predictions may change, but protecting your principal is the foundation of long-term profits.