# 比特币价格预测

#比特币价格预测 Seeing Bitcoin once again face resistance at the $90,000 mark, a familiar sense of helplessness washes over me. Over the years, I’ve experienced it too many times— the frenzy of 2017, the winter of 2018, the disillusionment of 2021, and the rebound of 2023. Every time the price hits a psychological barrier, the market’s performance repeats an ancient script.
On-chain demand has turned negative to -3491 coins. What does this number signify? Is it a risk-averse mindset before the New Year, or deeper down, a loss of confidence among market participants? I still remember the feverish inf

#比特币价格预测 Seeing Bitcoin repeatedly face resistance around the $90,000 mark, I am reminded of an important lesson — price predictions are never as practical as risk management.
Data shows that institutional ETFs had a net outflow of $782 million last week, with apparent demand turning negative to -3,491 BTC. What do these numbers reflect? Market risk aversion. When funds choose to flee during the year-end period, we should think less about "when will it rebound to 120,000" and more about "is my position already too heavy."
I have seen too many people attracted by price forecasts, betting all t

Year-end Market Notes: BTC fluctuated within the 87500-88000 range, ETH moved sideways. Honestly, I've seen too many rebounds with such low volume. Around this time last year, the same pattern occurred, and the scene of many chasing longs at 89000-90000 before being crushed is still vivid in my memory.
The key point to observe is this: the daily chart is still below the healthy zone, which means that although there are signs of a rebound, the trend has not truly reversed. Many people are now itching to jump in and chase the rally, but my lesson learned is that this is the most dangerous time.

#比特币价格预测 Bitcoin's return to 90,000 doesn't seem to have any new story; it's purely a technical play. Short covering plus options expiry releasing liquidity, combined with the momentum from altcoin linkages—this is the entire logic.
The key is that this rally lacks new catalysts, indicating we're still digesting the previous decline. The entire December has basically been oscillating within the 86,500-90,000 range, with ETF outflows (tax-loss harvesting), and the market hasn't formed a true consensus on direction.
For copy trading, this kind of technical-driven rebound requires caution. Aggre

Oh my God, I just saw some really interesting news😅 The big influencers like Michael Saylor, Tom Lee, and Arthur Hayes haven't even achieved their 2025 BTC price predictions! Tom Lee initially predicted $250,000 at the beginning of the year, then lowered it to over $100,000; Arthur Hayes said $200,000 or higher, and in the end, he admitted his prediction was "quite bad"...
This is a really good lesson for a newbie like me💭 It turns out that even predictions from industry giants can go completely wrong, which shows how unpredictable the crypto market really is. I used to naively think that wh

#比特币价格预测 Haha, this cracked me up. The predictions from big influencers are just for the opposite 😂
Arthur Hayes said $200,000, Tom Lee called for $250,000, Saylor painted a pie in the sky at $150,000... and what happened? They all completely flopped! Is this what they call "institutional influx and steady rise"?
The guys on the podcast still insist "it's okay to be wrong," but by the end of the year, they openly admit "the predictions were pretty bad"... The turnaround is faster than BTC's candlestick chart 📉
It taught me the most important lesson: the annual predictions from crypto big sh

#比特币价格预测 After reviewing the predictions and recaps from these three influential figures, some observations are worth noting:
Saylor shifted from an initial "institutional influx driving continuous rise" at the beginning of the year to a revised target of $150,000 in October. Hayes lowered his estimate from $200,000 to ultimately admitting that "it's quite bad." Tom Lee's prediction was cut from $250,000 to over $100,000—these adjustments reflect not a lack of ability but a significant deviation between on-chain reality and expectations.
The key point is that these forecasts are often based o

#比特币价格预测 I find Kong Jianping's perspective quite interesting. In the past, Bitcoin's price increase relied on knowledge diffusion—geeks passing it to programmers, programmers passing it to retail investors, with layers of faith passing the baton. But now, after the entry of ETFs and institutional investors, the game has changed.
Large holdings are locked in as long-term assets, and the number of sellers willing to trade frequently is decreasing, which means supply is truly shrinking. In other words, future price increases may no longer depend on new stories or new retail investors, but rathe

#比特币价格预测 Seeing these institutional forecasts, my feeling can be summarized in one sentence: Bitcoin's story is evolving from the "overnight wealth dream" to "a decade of wealth accumulation."
The latest insights from Galaxy and Bitwise are very interesting—they both point in the same direction: Bitcoin will steadily rise over the next ten years, but it will no longer experience the extreme surges of doubling in value that we saw in the past. This actually reflects the inevitable trend of the crypto market maturing.
Bitcoin has moved from being an experimental edge case to gaining institution

#比特币价格预测 Seeing the predictions from Galaxy and Bitwise, my mind flashes back to the crazy times of 2017. Back then, we were also debating how high Bitcoin would go, but the passion was far more intense than it is now.
This time is different. $250,000 sounds like a big number, but Galaxy explicitly stated that by 2026, "due to the broad implied range of options and the unstable macroeconomic environment, it is difficult to make a clear prediction"—this statement is key. They are presenting a slow approaching curve, not a sharp vertical surge. Matt Hougan from Bitwise put it more plainly: over