# 价格分析预测

#价格分析预测 Seeing Galaxy Research's forecast for 2026, I felt a familiar sense. Having been in this market for over twenty years, I’ve heard similar sentiments too many times—every cycle, someone says that fluctuations are unpredictable. Each time, I witness how the market charts a clear trajectory amid uncertainty.
The figure of $250,000 by the end of 2027 is actually traceable within the historical context. Bitcoin went from a few cents to thousands of dollars, from ten thousand to sixty thousand, each major leap accompanied by seemingly chaotic volatility. The "unpredictability" in 2026 essen

#价格分析预测 Looking at the latest prediction data from Polymarket, it's quite interesting. The probability of Bitcoin rising back to 100,000 within this year is only 11%, which indeed reflects the market's pessimistic outlook for a surge in Q4. In comparison, the probability of reaching 95,000 is 32%, and there's a 24% chance of dropping below 80,000—this indicates that current traders are more concerned about sideways consolidation or slight corrections.
From on-chain data, this shift in prediction probabilities is likely supported by changes in whale fund flows. An 11% probability suggests abou

#价格分析预测 Seeing Arthur Hayes's latest predictive analysis, I need to carefully sort out the logic behind it—this is not just a simple price guess, but a deep reflection on monetary policy and asset revaluation.
The Federal Reserve's Reserve Management Purchase Program (RMP) appears to be a stable operation on the surface, but essentially it is a disguised form of money printing. Once the market collectively realizes that this is quantitative easing, risk assets will experience a frenzy of re-pricing. Bitcoin could surge to 200,000 USD before March, driven by an overflow of liquidity.
But here

#价格分析预测 Seeing the discussions about the new QE and Bitcoin target prices, I want to share some thoughts.
Market expectations are high, but reality often takes time to materialize. Arthur Hayes's analytical framework—liquidity release → fiat currency depreciation → crypto asset benefits—this logical chain is valid in itself. However, the jump from the $80,000 range to $124,000 and then to $200,000 involves too many uncertainties that need to be digested.
The most interesting detail is that, while he is bullish, he transferred 508 ETH to exchanges. This behavior of "talking bullish but selling

#价格分析预测 Just saw Arthur Hayes's latest prediction, and I'm a bit puzzled by this logic😅 He said that the Federal Reserve's RMP is essentially just a new mask for "money printing." Once the market realizes that this is quantitative easing, Bitcoin could surge to 124,000 and then continue towards 200,000? What does this mean...
What makes me most nervous is his forecast that March will be the peak🤔 Does that mean there will be a correction afterward? I haven't experienced a real "altcoin storm" yet, and just looking at these numbers makes my heart race. Also, he is particularly bullish on ENA

#价格分析预测 Looking at Polymarket data, the probability of Bitcoin rising again to $100,000 this year is only 11%, indicating that market expectations for the future trend are cooling down. However, let's not be too pessimistic; the probability of reaching $95,000 is still 32%, which means there is still a chance.
In such times, it can actually be an opportunity—prediction projects often offer interactive rewards. I suggest everyone pay attention to new activities on prediction platforms. Since these projects require users to continuously participate in predictions to increase liquidity, they usu

#价格分析预测 Hayes's recent prediction logic is something I need to thoroughly understand. His core point is simply: the Federal Reserve's RMP is essentially still printing money. Once the market collectively realizes this is a form of QE, Bitcoin will need to be revalued. The range from 124,000 to 200,000 is very interesting—I’m not just throwing out random numbers, but based on a reasonable deduction from liquidity spillover.
The key point is in March. This is not the price top, but the peak period of market perception. Many people tend to misunderstand and think March is the ceiling, but Hayes

Citi's prediction this time is indeed quite aggressive, with a baseline price of $143,000, representing a 62% increase from the current $88,000. However, I think the numerical situation needs to be assessed carefully.
The key support level is around $70,000. If this level can hold steady, combined with a rebound in ETF demand, there is indeed a possibility of pushing higher. But the problem is the global economic situation is still uncertain; in a pessimistic scenario, it could drop to $78,500. On the optimistic side, it could reach $189,000, which still leaves a lot of room for imagination.
T

#价格分析预测 Seeing this wave of analysis, I must calmly remind everyone: $2772 support, $1800-2000 expected decline—these data points are easily interpreted as "a buying opportunity." I used to think the same way, but ended up getting cut badly.
The key is to recognize a fact—analysts' "reasonable entry points" are often not the same as retail investors' actual entry points. They say there will be a dip in the first half of 2026, sounding very professional, but how many people start buying the dip right now because of that? The result is often that their mentality is worn down before the price ev

#价格分析预测 Wow, Galaxy Research's report is amazing 🔥 Bitcoin's volatility in 2026 is hard to predict but there’s still a chance to hit new highs, aiming for 250,000 by the end of 2027? This pace feels off, brothers!
Key information:
- Stablecoin trading volume needs to surpass ACH system, indicating on-chain payments are really taking off
- Solana ecosystem continues to expand, enterprise-grade public chains are moving from testing to real settlement phase
- Signals of institutional funds pouring in are becoming more obvious, US ETFs will continue to grow
Honestly, the biggest opportunity is t